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KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co (KYRNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $592M

KP KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co logo KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co KYRNF · US
Price$10.31
Fair Value$11.16
Upside+8.2%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range $8.36 – $13.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $7.44 to $11.16 (+50.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $8.36 (bear) to $13.94 (bull), base $11.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.95 $8.87 Fair Value $11.16 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.87 – $16.95 · fair‑value band $8.36 – $13.94 · the $10.31 price screens below the $11.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co (KYRNF) currently trades at $10.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.16, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of $126B at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at $11.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.36 (bear case) to $13.94 (bull case); at $10.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 8%, KYRNF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.47 $2.24 $3.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.01 $3.68 $5.48 74
ROIC Compounder $1.55 $1.89 $2.18 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.43 $2.29 $3.36 38
Owner Earnings $3.15 $4.62 $6.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.01 $3.67 $5.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.61 $8.31 $12.49 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.98 $5.40 $7.82 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.65 $2.99 $4.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.23 $5.87 $9.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.29 $4.06 $6.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.62 $6.37 $8.24 54
PEG = 1.0 $1.14 $1.62 $2.11 46
EPV $1.55 $1.89 $2.18 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.77 $7.70 $9.62 63
P/S Multiple $4.91 $6.54 $8.18 58
P/B Multiple $4.91 $6.54 $8.18 55
EV/EBIT $4.41 $6.20 $7.99 53
EV/EBITDA $7.99 $10.98 $13.96 54
EV/Revenue $2.66 $4.21 $5.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.95 $10.65 $15.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.47 $2.24 $3.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.01 $3.68 $5.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.63 $9.94 $7.41 61
ROIC Compounder $1.55 $1.89 $2.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.43 $6.33 $8.23 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($10.65) versus Earnings-Based ($1.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $126B
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.2%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow $2.4B FY2026
P/E ratio 27.9
More key figures
Operating margin -3.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.3700
EPS growth (YoY) +122%
Net debt $11.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells ethical and generic drugs in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells ethical and generic drugs in Japan and internationally. The company offers Flutiform, a drug for the treatment of asthma; Lyfuna for cough treatment; Desalex, an antiallergic agent; Beova, and Uritos KYORIN therapeutic agents for overactive bladder; Lasvic, a quinolone synthetic antibacterial agent; Pentasa, a remedy for ulcerative colitis/Crohn's disease; Nasonex and Mometasone KYORIN, which are used as allergic rhinitis therapeutic agents; and Kipres, a leukotriene receptor antagonist anti-bronchial asthma and allergic rhinitis drug. It also provides Mucodyne, a mucoregulating drug; GeneSoC, a real-time PCR system; Rubysta, a disinfectant cleaner; Milton, a disinfectant; over-the-counter drugs; and prescription medicines and quasi-drugs, and diagnostics business. In addition, the company offers subcontracted drug manufacturing services. It has development and commercialization agreement with Hyfe Inc. for digital therapeutics (DTx) for chronic cough. The company was formerly known as KYORIN Holdings, Inc. KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of $126B in FY2026 versus $106B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4B in FY2026, compounding −3.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$126B
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY22 $106B
FY23 $113B
FY24 $120B
FY25 $130B
FY26 $126B
Net income −3.2%/yr
FY22 $3.9B
FY23 $4.7B
FY24 $5.5B
FY25 $9.1B
FY26 $3.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYRNF

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.9× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 44 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 10 · sector 23
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co (KYRNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.16 versus a price of $10.31, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KYRNF?
Our model-based fair value for KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co is $11.16 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.31.
What is the quality score of KYRNF?
KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co (KYRNF)?
KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $126B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KYRNF?
The net profit margin of KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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