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Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (LILAK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 17.9B TRY

LK Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. LILAK · IS
Price29.86 TRY
Fair Value48.04 TRY
Upside+60.9%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.06% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range 36.40 TRY – 61.18 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (36.40 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

40.23 TRY 18.54 TRY Fair Value 48.04 TRY May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range 18.54 TRY – 40.23 TRY · fair‑value band 36.40 TRY – 61.18 TRY · the 29.86 TRY price screens below the 48.04 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (LILAK) currently trades at 29.86 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 48.04 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 12.4B TRY at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at 1.8B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 36.40 TRY (bear case) to 61.18 TRY (bull case); at 29.86 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 61%, LILAK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 46.25 TRY 62.16 TRY 84.11 TRY 80
Residual Income 24.62 TRY 27.50 TRY 41.80 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 38.56 TRY 53.76 TRY 70.41 TRY 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 45.26 TRY 62.57 TRY 87.62 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 37.71 TRY 51.48 TRY 71.41 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 38.56 TRY 53.35 TRY 71.54 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 44.27 TRY 63.62 TRY 85.33 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 48.39 TRY 71.03 TRY 93.82 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 39.89 TRY 53.66 TRY 70.76 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 44.29 TRY 60.64 TRY 80.91 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 46.88 TRY 65.69 TRY 87.16 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 19.64 TRY 49.36 TRY 64.09 TRY 54
PEG = 1.0 9.08 TRY 12.97 TRY 16.86 TRY 46
EPV 34.79 TRY 39.20 TRY 43.07 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 16.42 TRY 31.10 TRY 51.68 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 16.42 TRY 24.91 TRY 34.11 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 47.65 TRY 63.54 TRY 79.42 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 36.82 TRY 49.10 TRY 61.37 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 36.82 TRY 49.10 TRY 61.37 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 45.42 TRY 57.80 TRY 70.17 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 48.61 TRY 62.05 TRY 75.49 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 36.44 TRY 48.51 TRY 60.58 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.75 TRY 18.43 TRY 27.50 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 46.25 TRY 62.16 TRY 84.11 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 38.56 TRY 53.76 TRY 70.41 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 24.62 TRY 27.50 TRY 41.80 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 35.82 TRY 42.47 TRY 50.09 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.65 TRY 52.36 TRY 68.07 TRY 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (60.64 TRY) versus Asset-Based (18.43 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.4B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.7%
Net margin 6.5%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow 2.0B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) 1.37 TRY
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -60.6%
Net debt 1.8B TRY FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells roll papers primarily in Turkey and internationally. It offers hygienic cleaning paper products, such as toilet paper, paper towels, tissue paper, handkerchiefs, and napkins. The company is also involved in the textile sector with integrated cotton yarn and dyeing operations.

Full company description

Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells roll papers primarily in Turkey and internationally. It offers hygienic cleaning paper products, such as toilet paper, paper towels, tissue paper, handkerchiefs, and napkins. The company is also involved in the textile sector with integrated cotton yarn and dyeing operations. It offers its products under the Sofia, Maylo, Ultra Berrak, Nua, and Nua Professional brand names. Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. also exports its semi-finished and finished products to approximately 80 countries on 5 continents. The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 13.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 6.5B TRY in FY2021, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B TRY in FY2025, compounding +23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.6B TRY
Latest YoY
−17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Revenue +20.2%/yr
FY21 6.5B TRY
FY22 12.6B TRY
FY23 9.4B TRY
FY24 16.4B TRY
FY25 13.6B TRY
Net income +23.0%/yr
FY21 746M TRY
FY22 2.1B TRY
FY23 224M TRY
FY24 1.5B TRY
FY25 1.7B TRY

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Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. · Fair Value
48.04 TRY +61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LILAK.IS

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 245 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 20 · sector 25
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (LILAK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 48.04 TRY versus a price of 29.86 TRY, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LILAK?
Our model-based fair value for Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 48.04 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 29.86 TRY.
What is the quality score of LILAK?
Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (LILAK)?
Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.4B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LILAK?
The net profit margin of Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. pay a dividend?
Lila Kagit Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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