Liontown Limited (LINRF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.9B
Liontown Limited
LINRF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $0.3800 to $0.0900 (−76.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −43.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.4761 – $1.87 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1300 · the $0.8800 price screens above the $0.0900 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
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Liontown Limited (LINRF) currently trades at $0.8800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 89.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Liontown Limited generated revenue of $405M at a net margin of -89.5%. Revenue grew 106.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -47.6%. Net debt stands at $676M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0600 (bear case) to $0.1300 (bull case); at $0.8800, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -90%, LINRF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Liontown Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for lithium and nickel deposits. Its flagship property is the Kathleen Valley lithium project located in Perth, Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Liontown Resources Limited and change its name to Liontown Limited in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Liontown Limited reported revenue of $298M in FY2025 versus $1.5M in FY2020, a compound +188.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$193M in FY2025.
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| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥108.33 | ¥10.89 | -90% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.