Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Lens Technology Co., Ltd $10.35, price $11.90, upside -13.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Lens Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of structural components, functional modules, complete machine assembly, and other supporting services in China and internationally.
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Lens Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of structural components, functional modules, complete machine assembly, and other supporting services in China and internationally. The company offers front and rear glass cover; stainless steel, space aluminum, magnesium-aluminum alloy, titanium alloy, and other new composite materials; metal; sapphire; ceramics; plastics molds; other materials; and protective panels, fingerprint modules, touch modules, biometrics, and other appearance structures. It also provides functional components, supporting accessories, fixture molds, and self-developed industrial internet systems, as well as production, testing, and automation equipment. It serves smartphones, smart wearables, laptops, tablets, smart vehicles, smart home appliances, photovoltaic products, and other applications. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Changsha, China. Lens Technology Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Lens Technology (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) currently trades at $11.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.35, 13.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $12.04 per share, and 8 of the 23 models we run sit above the $11.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.17, and 15 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.00 (bear) to $13.46 (bull), the price of $11.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lens Technology Co., Ltd reported revenue of 74.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 46.7B CNY in FY2022, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +18.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $20.2B · P/E ratio 38.2 · P/S ratio 2.06 · EPS (TTM) $0.4000 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −13%, LNTCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.00Fair Value $10.35Bull $13.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 7%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+57.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +54.9% a year for the price and +16.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Lens Technology Co., Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 631 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−32.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.6% · Below median
Return on assets3.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)38.2× · Pricier than median
P/B2.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.89× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF66.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)26· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)92· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.35 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $11.90, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LNTCY?
Our model-based fair value for Lens Technology Co., Ltd is $10.35 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $11.90.
What is the quality score of LNTCY?
Lens Technology Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.35 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.00, optimistic scenario $13.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lens Technology Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.35, about −13% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $11.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.00, optimistic scenario $13.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Lens Technology Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 71.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Lens Technology Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Lens Technology Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lens Technology Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +57.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LNTCY use?
Our models discount Lens Technology Co., Ltd at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lens Technology Co., Ltd that is +57.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Lens Technology Co., Ltd grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +57.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lens Technology Co., Ltd (+57.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.48 %: that much free cash flow Lens Technology Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lens Technology Co., Ltd it is $10.35 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $11.90. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lens Technology Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, LNTCY trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.90, fair value $10.35, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LNTCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.35). For Lens Technology Co., Ltd the two are $1.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lens Technology Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Lens Technology Co., Ltd at about $20.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $11.90; our models calculate a fair value of $10.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LNTCY?
Our models span a range for Lens Technology Co., Ltd: cautious scenario $6.00, base $10.35, optimistic $13.46 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $11.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LNTCY?
Lens Technology Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.2 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 13.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lens Technology Co., Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Lens Technology Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lens Technology Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $11.90, calculated fair value $10.35 (−13%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LNTCY calculated?
We run Lens Technology Co., Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lens Technology Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $11.90. Our model-based fair value is $10.35, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lens Technology Co., Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($6.00 to $13.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lens Technology Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The market capitalisation of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is $20.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 2.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Earnings per share at Lens Technology Co., Ltd are $0.4000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The dividend yield of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 4.6% (payout 138%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The net margin of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 5.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
The operating margin of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY)?
Revenue at Lens Technology Co., Ltd is growing −17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Lens Technology Co., Ltd (LNTCY) carry?
The net debt of Lens Technology Co., Ltd is 486M CNY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026