Lokesh Machines Limited (LOKESHMACH) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹6.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹47.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹38.20 – ₹471.40 · fair‑value band ₹28.56 – ₹47.60 · the ₹329.80 price screens above the ₹38.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lokesh Machines Limited (LOKESHMACH) currently trades at ₹329.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹38.08, implying the stock looks roughly 88.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lokesh Machines Limited generated revenue of ₹2.1B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 53.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at ₹1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹28.56 (bear case) to ₹47.60 (bull case); at ₹329.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 137% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -88%, LOKESHMACH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹71.82) versus DCF Models (₹8.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lokesh Machines Limited manufactures and sells machine tools in India. The company operates through the Machines Division and Component Division segments. It offers CNC machines, including CNC turning centers, vertical and horizontal machining centers, drill and tap centers, turn mill centers, and vertical turning lathes.
Full company description
Lokesh Machines Limited manufactures and sells machine tools in India. The company operates through the Machines Division and Component Division segments. It offers CNC machines, including CNC turning centers, vertical and horizontal machining centers, drill and tap centers, turn mill centers, and vertical turning lathes. The company also provides special-purpose machines, such as milling, drilling, and boring machines, as well as transfer lines. In addition, it offers automation products comprising gantry, robotic, and 4th axis automation products, as well as customized standard machines. Further, the company provides auto components, including cylinder blocks and heads, and connecting rods. It also exports its products to Japan, Germany, the Netherlands, Turkey, Italy, the United States of America, and the Middle East. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lokesh Machines Limited reported revenue of ₹2.1B in FY2026 versus ₹2.0B in FY2022, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹38.6M in FY2026, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
LOKESHMACH screens 88% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 805 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,645 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹421.70 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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