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Lumbee Guaranty Bank (LUMB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $44.9M

LG Lumbee Guaranty Bank logo Lumbee Guaranty Bank LUMB · US
Price$13.50
Fair Value$16.81
Upside+24.5%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $12.61 – $21.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.32 $8.16 Fair Value $16.81 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.16 – $14.32 · fair‑value band $12.61 – $21.01 · the $13.50 price screens below the $16.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Lumbee Guaranty Bank (LUMB) currently trades at $13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.81, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lumbee Guaranty Bank generated revenue of $18.4M at a net margin of 23.6%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.61 (bear case) to $21.01 (bull case); at $13.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 25%, LUMB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $12.06 $12.41 $12.35 76
P/E Multiple $12.61 $16.81 $21.01 63
P/B Multiple $16.49 $21.98 $27.48 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.61 $16.81 $21.01 63
P/B Multiple $16.49 $21.98 $27.48 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.06 $10.80 $16.12 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.06 $12.41 $12.35 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($16.81) versus Asset-Based ($10.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net margin 23.6%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow $2.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 27.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.31
EPS growth (YoY) +20.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lumbee Guaranty Bank provides various financial products and services in the United States. It offers personal and business checking and savings accounts; personal certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts; and business investment accounts.

Full company description

Lumbee Guaranty Bank provides various financial products and services in the United States. It offers personal and business checking and savings accounts; personal certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts; and business investment accounts. The company also provides mortgage, auto, recreational vehicle, personal, agriculture, working capital, real estate development, and business loans, as well as line of credit and capital acquisition services; and insurance services. In addition, it offers online, bill pay, mobile banking and deposit capture, digital wallet, and telephone banking; and convenience services, such as check recording, safe box deposits, wire transfer, visa support and services, and lost or stolen card support, and merchant services, as well as credit and debit cards, and night deposits. The company was formerly known as Lumbee Bank and changed its name to Lumbee Guaranty Bank in 1991. Lumbee Guaranty Bank was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Pembroke, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lumbee Guaranty Bank reported revenue of $17.8M in FY2025 versus $15.9M in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $4.1M in FY2025, compounding +0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.8M
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 $15.9M
FY22 $16.9M
FY23 $19.7M
FY24 $17.1M
FY25 $17.8M
Net income +0.8%/yr
FY21 $4.0M
FY22 $4.9M
FY23 $6.0M
FY24 $3.8M
FY25 $4.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lumbee Guaranty Bank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUMB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 18.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 66 · sector 39
FUTURE 48 · sector 44
PAST 35 · sector 41
HEALTH 90 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lumbee Guaranty Bank (LUMB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.81 versus a price of $13.50, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LUMB?
Our model-based fair value for Lumbee Guaranty Bank is $16.81 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.50.
What is the quality score of LUMB?
Lumbee Guaranty Bank has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lumbee Guaranty Bank (LUMB)?
Lumbee Guaranty Bank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LUMB?
The net profit margin of Lumbee Guaranty Bank is about 23.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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