Lupatech S.A (LUPA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · BR · Market cap R$32.2M (≈ $6.2M) · ISIN BRLUPAACNOR8
What is Lupatech S.A really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 17% below our fair value of R$4.50.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −41.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$4.22). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$1.29 – R$85.10 · fair‑value band R$4.22 – R$4.89 · the R$3.72 price screens below the R$4.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Lupatech S.A (LUPA3) currently trades at R$3.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 17.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of R$1.05 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the R$3.72 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$0.6500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at R$52.1M. Revenue declined 76.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −56.5%. Net debt stands at R$178M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$4.22 (bear case) to R$4.89 (bull case); at R$3.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 21%, LUPA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (R$1.05) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.6500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lupatech S.A. provides equipment for the oil and gas sector in Brazil. The company produces industrial valves; valves for oil and gas; synthetic fiber ropes for anchoring oil platforms and various other applications; and composite material artifacts, such as poles and tubular sleeves for coating oil pipelines. It also exports its products. Lupatech S.A.
Full company description
Lupatech S.A. provides equipment for the oil and gas sector in Brazil. The company produces industrial valves; valves for oil and gas; synthetic fiber ropes for anchoring oil platforms and various other applications; and composite material artifacts, such as poles and tubular sleeves for coating oil pipelines. It also exports its products. Lupatech S.A. was formerly known as Valmicro Indústria e Comércio de Válvulas S.A. and changed its name to Lupatech S.A. in March 1993. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lupatech S.A reported revenue of R$52.1M in FY2025 versus R$93.6M in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$60.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 194 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLB | $57.33 | $28.66 | −50% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $62.00 | $32.40 | −48% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $75.27 | $27.43 | −64% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $36.18 | $21.50 | −41% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $53.09 | $45.68 | −14% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥144.58 | ¥34.17 | −76% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.57 | €2.72 | −40% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 341.20 | kr 221.37 | −35% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.31 | ¥12.64 | +3% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €211.80 | €95.01 | −55% |
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