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Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc (LXEO) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $387M

LT Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc logo Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc LXEO · US
Price$4.63
Fair Value$1.80
Upside-61.1%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.19 – $2.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.19 to $2.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$18.76 $1.79 Fair Value $1.80 Nov 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range $1.79 – $18.76 · fair‑value band $1.19 – $2.25 · the $4.63 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc (LXEO) currently trades at $4.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 61.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -54.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $55.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.19 (bear case) to $2.25 (bull case); at $4.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -61%, LXEO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.57 $2.10 $3.14 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.57 $2.10 $3.14 50

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -54.8%
Free cash flow −$99.0M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-1.12
Net cash $55.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage genetic medicine company, focuses on hereditary and acquired diseases with high unmet need in the United States.

Full company description

Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage genetic medicine company, focuses on hereditary and acquired diseases with high unmet need in the United States. Its product pipeline comprises LX2006, an AAVrh10-based gene therapy candidate, which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat friedreich ataxia cardiomyopathy; LX2020, an AAVrh10-based gene therapy candidate, which is in phase 1/2 to deliver a functional plakophilin-2 (PKP2) gene to cardiac muscle for the treatment of PKP2-ACM; and LX2021, a gene therapy candidate, which is in preclinical trial to deliver the coding sequence for the functional connexin 43, or Cx43, protein for a group of inherited cardiac muscle disorders associated with a high risk of sudden death, including arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) and certain forms of dilated cardiomyopathy. The company is also developing LX2022, a gene therapy candidate, which is in preclinical trial to deliver a functional TNNI3 gene to myocardial cells to treat a distinct form of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. In addition, it is developing LX1001, LX1020, and LX1021, an AAVrh10-based gene therapy candidate, which has completed phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of APOE4-associated Alzheimer's disease. The company has a license agreement with Cornell University to conduct the Phase 1/2 clinical trial of LX1001, as well as support the development of the LX1004 program; a research collaboration agreement with Cornell University to conduct preclinical research to develop the licensed technology; and third license agreement which obtained certain rights for FA cardiomyopathy, including rights to current and future clinical data from an ongoing Cornell University investigator-initiated Phase 1A trial of a gene therapy candidate. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $1.7M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$100.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2022)
$654K
Latest YoY
−60.5%
Revenue
FY21 $1.7M
FY22 $654K
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$50.6M
FY22 −$59.3M
FY23 −$66.4M
FY24 −$98.3M
FY25 −$100.0M

LXEO screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LXEO

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Return on assets -33% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc (LXEO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.80 versus a price of $4.63, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LXEO?
Our model-based fair value for Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc is $1.80 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.63.
What is the quality score of LXEO?
Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of LXEO?
The net profit margin of Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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