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MA Financial Group (MAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$1.2B

MF MA Financial Group MAF · AU
PriceA$6.02
Fair ValueA$0.9000
Upside-85.1%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.11% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.6700 – A$1.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −10.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$11.16 A$3.24 Fair Value A$0.9000 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$3.24 – A$11.16 · fair‑value band A$0.6700 – A$1.12 · the A$6.02 price screens above the A$0.9000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

MA Financial Group (MAF) currently trades at A$6.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.9000, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MA Financial Group generated revenue of A$1.5B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 40.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at A$8.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.6700 (bear case) to A$1.12 (bull case); at A$6.02, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -85%, MAF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$10.84 A$38.99 80
Residual Income A$1.56 A$1.45 A$1.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.39 A$29.75 74
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.3600 A$2.50 A$3.50 54
Lynch FV A$1.29 A$1.84 A$2.40 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.5100 A$0.6800 A$0.8600 63
P/B Multiple A$0.6700 A$0.9000 A$1.12 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.17 A$1.57 A$2.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$10.84 A$38.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.39 A$29.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$1.56 A$1.45 A$1.07 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (A$1.84) versus Multiples (A$0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.6%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow A$380M FY2025
P/E ratio 105.3
More key figures
Operating margin 21.8%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0600
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -91.1%
Net debt A$8.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MA Financial Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Australia. It operates through Asset Management, Lending & Technology, and Corporate Advisory & Equities segments.

Full company description

MA Financial Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Australia. It operates through Asset Management, Lending & Technology, and Corporate Advisory & Equities segments. The company operates as an asset manager specializing in private credit, real estate, and private equity and venture capital; and manages traditional asset classes, including equities, bonds, and cash for wholesale, retail, and institutional investors. It also offers lending platforms for the provision of loan funding, real estate mortgages, and financial technology comprising mortgage aggregation services. In addition, the company provides financial advice for mergers and acquisitions and strategic advisory, equity and debt capital markets, capital structure advisory, and equities research and trading; and corporate advice, underwriting, and institutional stockbroking services, as well as specialised services in real estate, credit and restructuring, resources technology, and small to mid-cap industrial companies. MA Financial Group Limited was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MA Financial Group reported revenue of A$1.8B in FY2025 versus A$242M in FY2021, a compound +64.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.4M in FY2025, compounding −24.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$1.8B
Latest YoY
+48.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+59.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+40.4%
Revenue +64.9%/yr
FY21 A$242M
FY22 A$778M
FY23 A$875M
FY24 A$1.2B
FY25 A$1.8B
Net income −24.5%/yr
FY21 A$32.0M
FY22 A$44.9M
FY23 A$28.5M
FY24 A$41.8M
FY25 A$10.4M

MAF screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MA Financial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAF

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Below median
Revenue growth 41% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 14.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 105.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 10 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MA Financial Group (MAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.9000 versus a price of A$6.02, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAF?
Our model-based fair value for MA Financial Group is A$0.9000 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$6.02.
What is the quality score of MAF?
MA Financial Group has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MA Financial Group (MAF)?
MA Financial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAF?
The net profit margin of MA Financial Group is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MA Financial Group pay a dividend?
MA Financial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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