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Magnera Corporation (MAGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $434M

MC Magnera Corporation logo Magnera Corporation MAGN · US
Price$12.91
Fair Value$33.59
Upside+160.2%
Quality32/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range $10.80 – $33.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($10.80 to $33.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$233.33 $7.96 Fair Value $33.59 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.96 – $233.33 · fair‑value band $10.80 – $33.59 · the $12.91 price screens below the $33.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Magnera Corporation (MAGN) currently trades at $12.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.59, implying the stock looks roughly 160.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Magnera Corporation generated revenue of $3.3B at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue declined 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. Net debt stands at $1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.80 (bear case) to $33.59 (bull case); at $12.91, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 160%, MAGN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.33 $15.18 $30.28 74
ROIC Compounder $3.61 $6.21 $8.37 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.73 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.33 $15.47 $32.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $22.53 $54.05 $91.90 41
10Y Revenue Exit $8.84 $23.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.80 $33.59 $65.82 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $3.61 $6.21 $8.37 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $12.33 $21.57 $30.81 53
EV/EBITDA $47.80 $68.87 $89.94 54
EV/Revenue $8.63 $18.93 $29.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.94 $20.02 $29.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.33 $15.18 $30.28 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $3.61 $6.21 $8.37 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($21.57) versus Earnings-Based ($6.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net margin -3.4%
Return on equity -10.3%
Free cash flow $36.0M FY2025
Operating margin 4.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.47
Net debt $1.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Magnera Corporation manufactures and sells non-woven and related products worldwide. It sells its products primarily into consumer-oriented end markets, such as healthcare, and personal care.

Full company description

Magnera Corporation manufactures and sells non-woven and related products worldwide. It sells its products primarily into consumer-oriented end markets, such as healthcare, and personal care. The company offers personal care and consumer solution products and components of products including medical garments, wipes, dryer sheets, filtration, baby diapers and adult incontinence. The company also offers tea bags, coffee filters, wipes, cable wrap, filtration, baby diapers and adult incontinence. The company is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Magnera Corporation reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +31.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$159M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.2B
Latest YoY
+46.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue +31.1%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $2.2B
FY25 $3.2B
Net income
FY21 $6.9M
FY22 −$194M
FY23 −$79.1M
FY24 −$154M
FY25 −$159M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magnera Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAGN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +160% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 4.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 60 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Magnera Corporation (MAGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.59 versus a price of $12.91, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MAGN?
Our model-based fair value for Magnera Corporation is $33.59 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.91.
What is the quality score of MAGN?
Magnera Corporation has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Magnera Corporation (MAGN)?
Magnera Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAGN?
The net profit margin of Magnera Corporation is about -3.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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