Manchester United plc (MANU) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.9B
Manchester United plc
MANU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $4.95 to $14.47 (+192.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.04 to $18.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.51 – $26.84 · fair‑value band $10.04 – $18.90 · the $21.63 price screens above the $14.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Manchester United plc (MANU) currently trades at $21.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.47, implying the stock looks roughly 33.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Manchester United plc generated revenue of $684M at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.6%. Net debt stands at $559M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.04 (bear case) to $18.90 (bull case); at $21.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -33%, MANU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($10.99) versus Growth DCF ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Manchester United plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional sports team in the United Kingdom. The company is involved in marketing and sponsorship relationships with international and regional companies to commercialize its brand.
Full company description
Manchester United plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional sports team in the United Kingdom. The company is involved in marketing and sponsorship relationships with international and regional companies to commercialize its brand. It also markets and sells sports apparel, training and leisure wear, and other clothing; and other licensed products, such as coffee mugs and home accessories featuring the Manchester United brand and trademarks through Manchester United branded retail centers and e-commerce platforms, and through partners' wholesale distribution channels. In addition, the company distributes live football content directly, as well as through commercial partners; television rights relating to the Premier League, Union of European Football Associations club competitions, and other competitions, as well as delivers Manchester United programming through the MUTV television channel to territories worldwide. Further, it operates Old Trafford, a sports venue, as well as owns or leases, and invests in properties. The company was formerly known as Manchester United Ltd. changed its name to Manchester United plc in August 2012. Manchester United plc was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Manchester United plc reported revenue of $628M in FY2025 versus $481M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.1M in FY2025.
MANU screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Manchester United’s Stock Rally Faces a Test Beyond Old Trafford
- World Cup Mayhem Makes Manchester United Options Investors Go Wild
- Manchester United Secures Land for New 100,000-Seat Stadium
- Manchester United Criticized Over Lack of Board Independence
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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