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Multibax Public Company (MBAX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 396M THB

MP Multibax Public Company MBAX · BK
Price2.12 THB
Fair Value3.15 THB
Upside+48.6%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.15% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range 2.36 THB – 3.94 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +9.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.36 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.45 THB 1.21 THB Fair Value 3.15 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.21 THB – 6.45 THB · fair‑value band 2.36 THB – 3.94 THB · the 2.12 THB price screens below the 3.15 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Multibax Public Company (MBAX) currently trades at 2.12 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.15 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Multibax Public Company generated revenue of 1.6B THB at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at 648M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.36 THB (bear case) to 3.94 THB (bull case); at 2.12 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 49%, MBAX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 5.44 THB 6.73 THB 8.87 THB 80
Residual Income 1.99 THB 2.05 THB 2.05 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 4.00 THB 5.34 THB 7.10 THB 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.30 THB 6.66 THB 9.10 THB 38
Owner Earnings 3.23 THB 4.03 THB 5.47 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 4.00 THB 5.23 THB 7.05 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.07 THB 7.04 THB 9.70 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 3.58 THB 4.51 THB 5.67 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.46 THB 5.55 THB 6.75 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.13 THB 6.64 THB 8.32 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 4.30 THB 5.12 THB 5.93 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.26 THB 2.11 THB 2.57 THB 54
EPV 2.62 THB 2.94 THB 3.21 THB 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.36 THB 3.15 THB 3.94 THB 63
P/S Multiple 2.36 THB 3.15 THB 3.94 THB 58
P/B Multiple 2.36 THB 3.15 THB 3.94 THB 55
EV/EBIT 3.71 THB 4.86 THB 6.02 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 5.62 THB 7.42 THB 9.21 THB 54
EV/Revenue 3.25 THB 4.53 THB 5.82 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.30 THB 1.74 THB 2.60 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 5.44 THB 6.73 THB 8.87 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 4.00 THB 5.34 THB 7.10 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.99 THB 2.05 THB 2.05 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 2.62 THB 2.98 THB 3.34 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.68 THB 2.41 THB 3.13 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (5.34 THB) versus Asset-Based (1.74 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.3%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow 120M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 8.7
More key figures
Operating margin 5.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.2300 THB
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net debt 648M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Multibax Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of polymer bags in Thailand, North America, Australia, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers food packaging bags, garbage bags, bioplastic bags, and green plastic bags products. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Chonburi, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Multibax Public Company reported revenue of 1.7B THB in FY2025 versus 1.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 36.9M THB in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B THB
Latest YoY
+23.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 1.5B THB
FY22 2.0B THB
FY23 1.1B THB
FY24 1.4B THB
FY25 1.7B THB
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 62.4M THB
FY22 123M THB
FY23 −38.2M THB
FY24 −20.0M THB
FY25 36.9M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Multibax Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBAX

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 98 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 35 · sector 21
HEALTH 97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Multibax Public Company (MBAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.15 THB versus a price of 2.12 THB, about +49% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MBAX?
Our model-based fair value for Multibax Public Company is 3.15 THB (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.12 THB.
What is the quality score of MBAX?
Multibax Public Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Multibax Public Company (MBAX)?
Multibax Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBAX?
The net profit margin of Multibax Public Company is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Multibax Public Company pay a dividend?
Multibax Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.35% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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