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MBT Bancshares, Inc (MBKL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $55.4M

MB MBT Bancshares, Inc logo MBT Bancshares, Inc MBKL · US
Price$29.00
Fair Value$43.21
Upside+49.0%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 25.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $32.41 – $54.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($32.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$29.00 $10.95 Fair Value $43.21 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.95 – $29.00 · fair‑value band $32.41 – $54.02 · the $29.00 price screens below the $43.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

MBT Bancshares, Inc (MBKL) currently trades at $29.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.21, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MBT Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $26.8M at a net margin of 25.3%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $32.41 (bear case) to $54.02 (bull case); at $29.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 49%, MBKL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $22.15 $24.76 $35.48 76
Gordon GGM $6.97 $11.67 $15.15 70
P/E Multiple $32.41 $43.21 $54.02 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.97 $11.67 $15.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.97 $10.68 $12.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $32.41 $43.21 $54.02 63
P/B Multiple $27.44 $36.59 $45.74 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.07 $17.51 $26.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.15 $24.76 $35.48 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($36.59) versus Dividend Discount ($10.68). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $26.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.4%
Net margin 25.3%
Return on equity 13.9%
Free cash flow $5.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.2
More key figures
Operating margin 22.8%
EPS (TTM) $3.32
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net cash $818K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MBT Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for the Metairie Bank and Trust Company that provides various banking products and services in the United States.

Full company description

MBT Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for the Metairie Bank and Trust Company that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, individual retirement, NOW, and money market accounts; non-interest-bearing demand and interest-bearing demand deposits; certificates of deposit; debit and credit cards; and online banking services. It also provides home and mortgage, personal, auto, recreational, business term, commercial real estate, and commercial construction loans; and business and personal lines of credit, and letters of credit, as well as paycheck protection programs (PPP). In addition, the company offers account analysis, ACH, automatic funds transfer, coin counting, collection, foreign currency exchange, merchant, money order, municipal bond coupon redemption, online bill pay, overdraft privilege and protection, remote capture deposit, sweep investment, and wire transfer services; and combined statements, e-statements, official checks, safe deposit boxes, and U.S. savings bonds. Further, it provides retirement and financial planning, professional asset management, and estate planning services; college savings plans, mutual funds, annuities, stocks and bonds, and fixed income securities; and insurance agency services for commercial, personal, health, and life insurance products. It operates through various offices located in Metairie, Mandeville, and Covington, Louisiana. MBT Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in Metairie, Louisiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MBT Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $35.6M in FY2025 versus $22.2M in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was $6.8M in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$35.6M
Latest YoY
+50.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY21 $22.2M
FY22 $22.8M
FY23 $27.0M
FY24 $23.7M
FY25 $35.6M
Net income +9.8%/yr
FY21 $4.7M
FY22 $3.5M
FY23 $5.3M
FY24 $5.9M
FY25 $6.8M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 pp

of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +3.2 pp
Tax rate +1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MBT Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBKL

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 99 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 56 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MBT Bancshares, Inc (MBKL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.21 versus a price of $29.00, about +49% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MBKL?
Our model-based fair value for MBT Bancshares, Inc is $43.21 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $29.00.
What is the quality score of MBKL?
MBT Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MBT Bancshares, Inc (MBKL)?
MBT Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBKL?
The net profit margin of MBT Bancshares, Inc is about 25.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MBT Bancshares, Inc pay a dividend?
MBT Bancshares, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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