MCI Management SA (MCI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · PL · Market cap 1.5B PLN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 3.40 PLN to 33.37 PLN (+881.5%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from 25.03 PLN (bear) to 41.71 PLN (bull), base 33.37 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.43 PLN – 30.30 PLN · fair‑value band 25.03 PLN – 41.71 PLN · the 28.90 PLN price screens below the 33.37 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MCI Management SA (MCI) currently trades at 28.90 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.37 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MCI Management SA generated revenue of 57.7M PLN at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 39.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 245M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.03 PLN (bear case) to 41.71 PLN (bull case); at 28.90 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 15%, MCI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (33.37 PLN) versus Asset-Based (26.30 PLN). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A., is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in seed/startup, early to late venture, buy-out, middle market, mature, emerging growth, and growth capital investments.
Full company description
MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A., is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in seed/startup, early to late venture, buy-out, middle market, mature, emerging growth, and growth capital investments. The firm seeks to invest in digital economy, digital climatech with a focus in area of green transformation in technology/digital companies, digital disruption, digital transformation & digital infrastructure. Preferred sectors are SaaS, e-commerce, payments, marketplace, security, fintech, proptech, food, travel, insurtech, foodtech, deeptech, Internet infrastructure like fibre and 5G, telecoms, IoT, traveltech, B2C apps, consumer discretionary, consumer services, logistics infrastructure, retailing, financials, insurance, information technology, software, communication services, media, and entertainment. It seeks to invest in Israel, Africa/Middle East, Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden), Europe (Developed & Emerging Markets) with a focus on North CEE (Poland, Baltics, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary), South CEE (Romania, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Croatia, Greece) and DACH countries (Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy). The firm prefers to invest between "25 million ($26.97 million) and "100 million ($107.90 million). The firm prefers to take majority stake. It has also been historically involved in funds dedicated to Private Debt, Growth and Venture Capital areas. MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MCI Management SA reported revenue of 108M PLN in FY2025 versus 411M PLN in FY2021, a compound −28.4%/yr. Reported net income was 45.5M PLN in FY2025, compounding −44.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 700 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 321.44 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,294 | ₹11,257 | -0% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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