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MCI Management SA (MCI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · PL · Market cap 1.5B PLN

MM MCI Management SA MCI · WAR
Price28.90 PLN
Fair Value33.37 PLN
Upside+15.5%
Quality73/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 35.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.55% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range 25.03 PLN – 41.71 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 3.40 PLN to 33.37 PLN (+881.5%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from 25.03 PLN (bear) to 41.71 PLN (bull), base 33.37 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

30.30 PLN 14.43 PLN Fair Value 33.37 PLN Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.43 PLN – 30.30 PLN · fair‑value band 25.03 PLN – 41.71 PLN · the 28.90 PLN price screens below the 33.37 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

MCI Management SA (MCI) currently trades at 28.90 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.37 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MCI Management SA generated revenue of 57.7M PLN at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 39.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 245M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 25.03 PLN (bear case) to 41.71 PLN (bull case); at 28.90 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 15%, MCI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple 25.03 PLN 33.37 PLN 41.71 PLN 55
NCAV (Graham) 19.63 PLN 26.30 PLN 39.26 PLN 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple 25.03 PLN 33.37 PLN 41.71 PLN 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 19.63 PLN 26.30 PLN 39.26 PLN 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (33.37 PLN) versus Asset-Based (26.30 PLN). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 96.9M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) -39.7%
Net margin 35.0%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow 152M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 44.5
More key figures
Operating margin 64.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.6500 PLN
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -77.0%
Net debt 245M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A., is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in seed/startup, early to late venture, buy-out, middle market, mature, emerging growth, and growth capital investments.

Full company description

MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A., is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in seed/startup, early to late venture, buy-out, middle market, mature, emerging growth, and growth capital investments. The firm seeks to invest in digital economy, digital climatech with a focus in area of green transformation in technology/digital companies, digital disruption, digital transformation & digital infrastructure. Preferred sectors are SaaS, e-commerce, payments, marketplace, security, fintech, proptech, food, travel, insurtech, foodtech, deeptech, Internet infrastructure like fibre and 5G, telecoms, IoT, traveltech, B2C apps, consumer discretionary, consumer services, logistics infrastructure, retailing, financials, insurance, information technology, software, communication services, media, and entertainment. It seeks to invest in Israel, Africa/Middle East, Nordic countries (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden), Europe (Developed & Emerging Markets) with a focus on North CEE (Poland, Baltics, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary), South CEE (Romania, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Croatia, Greece) and DACH countries (Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy). The firm prefers to invest between "25 million ($26.97 million) and "100 million ($107.90 million). The firm prefers to take majority stake. It has also been historically involved in funds dedicated to Private Debt, Growth and Venture Capital areas. MCI Capital Alternatywna Spólka Inwestycyjna S.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MCI Management SA reported revenue of 108M PLN in FY2025 versus 411M PLN in FY2021, a compound −28.4%/yr. Reported net income was 45.5M PLN in FY2025, compounding −44.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
108M PLN
Latest YoY
+132.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.9%
Revenue −28.4%/yr
FY21 411M PLN
FY22 175M PLN
FY23 232M PLN
FY24 46.5M PLN
FY25 108M PLN
Net income −44.1%/yr
FY21 466M PLN
FY22 143M PLN
FY23 165M PLN
FY24 15.5M PLN
FY25 45.5M PLN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MCI Management SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCI.WAR

Peer Group

Asset Management · 700 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 64% · Above median
Revenue growth -40% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 6 · sector 24
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 85

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,294 ₹11,257 -0%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MCI Management SA (MCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.37 PLN versus a price of 28.90 PLN, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MCI?
Our model-based fair value for MCI Management SA is 33.37 PLN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 28.90 PLN.
What is the quality score of MCI?
MCI Management SA has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MCI Management SA (MCI)?
MCI Management SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 57.7M PLN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MCI?
The net profit margin of MCI Management SA is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MCI Management SA pay a dividend?
MCI Management SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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