The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $45.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −8.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range $0.6801 – $4.11 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3400 · the $1.04 price screens above the $0.2700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD) currently trades at $1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 73.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Marygold Companies, Inc generated revenue of $30.6M at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue grew 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1800 (bear case) to $0.3400 (bull case); at $1.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -74%, MGLD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Marygold Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides fund management services in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, and Australia. It operates through Fund Management, Food Products, Security Systems, Beauty Products, and Financial Services segments.
Full company description
The Marygold Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides fund management services in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, and Australia. It operates through Fund Management, Food Products, Security Systems, Beauty Products, and Financial Services segments. The company offers investment fund management and advisory services to exchange traded funds and exchange traded products organized as limited partnerships or investment trusts. It also manufactures and distributes meat pies, sausage rolls, and patisserie cakes through the Ponsonby Pies and Pats Pantry brands to grocery stores, gasoline convenience stores, and independent retailers and cafes; and prints specialty wrappers for the food industry. In addition, the company sells and installs alarm monitoring systems, security monitoring hardware, access controls, ULC approved fire monitoring panels, and comprehensive security systems through the Brigadier Elite brand to commercial and residential customers. Further, it formulates, packages, retails, and distributes various hair and skin care products under the Original Sprout brand to end users, resellers, wholesale distributors, and retail stores, as well as through online. Additionally, the company develops Fintech digital mobile banking app; and operates as an asset manager. The company was formerly known as Concierge Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to The Marygold Companies Inc. in March 2022. The Marygold Companies Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in San Clemente, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Marygold Companies, Inc reported revenue of $30.2M in FY2025 versus $39.9M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.8M in FY2025.
MGLD screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 970 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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