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The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $45.5M

TM The Marygold Companies, Inc logo The Marygold Companies, Inc MGLD · US
Price$1.04
Fair Value$0.2700
Upside-73.9%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -7.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.1800 – $0.3400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −8.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$4.11 $0.6801 Fair Value $0.2700 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range $0.6801 – $4.11 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3400 · the $1.04 price screens above the $0.2700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD) currently trades at $1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 73.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Marygold Companies, Inc generated revenue of $30.6M at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue grew 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1800 (bear case) to $0.3400 (bull case); at $1.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -74%, MGLD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.5400 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.5400 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.2%
Net margin -7.1%
Return on equity -9.1%
Free cash flow −$3.4M FY2025
Operating margin -1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -72.4%
Net cash $2.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Marygold Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides fund management services in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, and Australia. It operates through Fund Management, Food Products, Security Systems, Beauty Products, and Financial Services segments.

Full company description

The Marygold Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides fund management services in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, and Australia. It operates through Fund Management, Food Products, Security Systems, Beauty Products, and Financial Services segments. The company offers investment fund management and advisory services to exchange traded funds and exchange traded products organized as limited partnerships or investment trusts. It also manufactures and distributes meat pies, sausage rolls, and patisserie cakes through the Ponsonby Pies and Pats Pantry brands to grocery stores, gasoline convenience stores, and independent retailers and cafes; and prints specialty wrappers for the food industry. In addition, the company sells and installs alarm monitoring systems, security monitoring hardware, access controls, ULC approved fire monitoring panels, and comprehensive security systems through the Brigadier Elite brand to commercial and residential customers. Further, it formulates, packages, retails, and distributes various hair and skin care products under the Original Sprout brand to end users, resellers, wholesale distributors, and retail stores, as well as through online. Additionally, the company develops Fintech digital mobile banking app; and operates as an asset manager. The company was formerly known as Concierge Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to The Marygold Companies Inc. in March 2022. The Marygold Companies Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in San Clemente, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Marygold Companies, Inc reported revenue of $30.2M in FY2025 versus $39.9M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 3/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$30.2M
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.9%
Revenue −6.8%/yr
FY21 $39.9M
FY22 $37.8M
FY23 $34.9M
FY24 $32.8M
FY25 $30.2M
Net income
FY21 $5.8M
FY22 $1.1M
FY23 $1.2M
FY24 −$4.1M
FY25 −$5.8M

MGLD screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Marygold Companies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGLD

Peer Group

Asset Management · 970 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2700 versus a price of $1.04, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGLD?
Our model-based fair value for The Marygold Companies, Inc is $0.2700 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.04.
What is the quality score of MGLD?
The Marygold Companies, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Marygold Companies, Inc (MGLD)?
The Marygold Companies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MGLD?
The net profit margin of The Marygold Companies, Inc is about -7.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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