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Magnora ASA (MGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · NO · Market cap 2.3B NOK (≈ $244M) · ISIN NO0010187032

What is Magnora ASA really worth?

MA Magnora ASA MGN · OL
Pricekr 22.50
Fair Valuekr 3.15
Upside−86.0%
Quality57/100

A solid business, but trading 614% above our fair value of kr 3.15.

As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Magnora ASA is kr 3.15 per share against a price of kr 22.50, so the fair value sits 86% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +28.0 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -127.3% net margin · fiscal year 2025 20.6%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range kr 3.04 – kr 3.18

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (kr 3.04 to kr 3.18), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 33.50 kr 12.54 Fair Value kr 3.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 12.54 – kr 33.50 · fair‑value band kr 3.04 – kr 3.18 · the kr 22.50 price screens above the kr 3.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Magnora ASA (MGN) currently trades at kr 22.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.15, implying the stock looks roughly 614.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 8.87 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the kr 22.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 2.55, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 50.2M NOK. It earns a return on equity of −19.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 346M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 3.04 (bear case) to kr 3.18 (bull case); at kr 22.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −86%, MGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence kr 2.93 kr 3.01 kr 2.92 74
Owner Earnings kr 4.84 kr 8.74 kr 16.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 3.18 kr 5.48 kr 6.69 65
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 4.84 kr 8.74 kr 16.62 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 1.38 kr 9.62 kr 13.50 61
Lynch FV kr 4.97 kr 7.10 kr 9.23 59
PEG = 1.0 kr 4.97 kr 7.10 kr 9.23 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 3.18 kr 6.34 kr 9.60 64
DDM Multi-Stage kr 3.18 kr 5.48 kr 6.69 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 2.74 kr 3.65 kr 4.56 63
P/S Multiple kr 1.85 kr 2.46 kr 3.08 58
P/B Multiple kr 2.59 kr 3.45 kr 4.31 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.90 kr 2.55 kr 3.81 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence kr 2.93 kr 3.01 kr 2.92 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 6.21 kr 8.87 kr 11.53 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 8.87) versus Asset-Based (kr 2.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 45.2 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr −0.9600
Dividend yield 1.6%
Net margin 20.6% FY2025
Return on equity −19.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −1,759% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 50.2M NOK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −95.6% 3y avg +2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +87.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −10.2M NOK FY2025
Net cash 346M NOK FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Magnora ASA operates as a renewable energy development company in Norway, Sweden, South Africa and the United Kingdom. The company focuses on developing data centers, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy " onshore and offshore, renewable energy, and battery energy storage systems projects.

Full company description

Magnora ASA operates as a renewable energy development company in Norway, Sweden, South Africa and the United Kingdom. The company focuses on developing data centers, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy " onshore and offshore, renewable energy, and battery energy storage systems projects. The company was formerly known as Sevan Marine ASA and changed its name to Magnora ASA in October 2018. Magnora ASA was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Magnora ASA reported revenue of 97.7M NOK in FY2025 versus 15.2M NOK in FY2021, a compound +59.2%/yr. Reported net income was 20.1M NOK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
97.7M NOK
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−5.8% · in NOK
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−7.4%
Dividend yield1.6%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21.5% (2020) → −3.1% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop346% (2015) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in NOK
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 30.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue +59.2%/yr
FY21 15.2M NOK
FY22 91.7M NOK
FY23 24.6M NOK
FY24 2.3M NOK
FY25 97.7M NOK
Net income
FY21 −62.8M NOK
FY22 3.9M NOK
FY23 193M NOK
FY24 594M NOK
FY25 20.1M NOK

MGN screens 614% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Magnora ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGN.OL

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −127% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −96% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.86× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 3
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 14
HEALTH100 · sector 68
DIVIDEND32 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.96 ¥25.13 −10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.25 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.79 ¥5.57 −43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 −87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.49 −12%
VERBUND AG VER €59.65 €55.03 −8%
BEP BEP $31.27 $70.40 +125%
BEPUN BEPUN C$45.05 C$42.83 −5%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.80 €13.55 −32%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥15.92 ¥7.55 −53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Magnora ASA (MGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 3.15 versus a price of kr 22.50, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGN?
Our model-based fair value for Magnora ASA is kr 3.15 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 22.50.
What is the quality score of MGN?
Magnora ASA has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magnora ASA (MGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 3.15 (as of Aug 29, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 3.04, optimistic scenario kr 3.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magnora ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 3.15, about −86% upside versus a price of kr 22.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 3.04, optimistic scenario kr 3.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Magnora ASA (MGN)?
Magnora ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 50.2M NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MGN?
The net profit margin of Magnora ASA is about −127.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Magnora ASA pay a dividend?
Magnora ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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