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Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and (MLGRC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · FR · Market cap €65.9M

GC Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and MLGRC · PA
Price€27.00
Fair Value€4.11
Upside-84.8%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.08 – €5.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€36.40 €14.34 Fair Value €4.11 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €14.34 – €36.40 · fair‑value band €3.08 – €5.13 · the €27.00 price screens above the €4.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and (MLGRC) currently trades at €27.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.11, implying the stock looks roughly 84.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Net debt stands at €87.2M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 78.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.08 (bear case) to €5.13 (bull case); at €27.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -85%, MLGRC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €12.57 €11.33 €7.42 76
P/E Multiple €3.08 €4.11 €5.13 63
P/B Multiple €4.03 €5.37 €6.71 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.15 €14.98 €21.02 54
Lynch FV €7.74 €11.06 €14.37 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.08 €4.11 €5.13 63
P/B Multiple €4.03 €5.37 €6.71 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €10.09 €13.52 €20.18 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €12.57 €11.33 €7.42 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€13.52) versus Multiples (€4.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −€12.5M FY2024
P/E ratio 87.5
EPS (TTM) €0.3200
Net debt €87.2M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and distributes meat products in France. The company offers beef, calf, lamb, pork, poultry, sausage, and offal; and fresh produce, including dairy, cold cuts, fresh pasta, and prepared meals. It also provides deli meats, cheeses, grocery items, condiments, fruits, and vegetables.

Full company description

Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and distributes meat products in France. The company offers beef, calf, lamb, pork, poultry, sausage, and offal; and fresh produce, including dairy, cold cuts, fresh pasta, and prepared meals. It also provides deli meats, cheeses, grocery items, condiments, fruits, and vegetables. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Toulon, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and reported revenue of €528M in FY2024 versus €255M in FY2020, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was €743K in FY2024, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
€528M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.6%
Revenue +20.0%/yr
FY20 €255M
FY21 €359M
FY22 €393M
FY23 €1.6M
FY24 €528M
Net income −31.3%/yr
FY20 €3.3M
FY21 €8.7M
FY22 €1.8M
FY23 €2.6M
FY24 €743K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −11.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.4 pp

of which total revenue +9.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp

EBIT margin −11.5 pp
Tax rate −1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −7.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

MLGRC screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLGRC

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 87.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 16 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and (MLGRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.11 versus a price of €27.00, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLGRC?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and is €4.11 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €27.00.
What is the quality score of MLGRC?
Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of MLGRC?
The net profit margin of Groupe Carnivor Société Anonyme processes, packages, and is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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