Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Groupe Carnivor SA €10.97, price €27.00, upside -59.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €14.50 – €36.40 · fair‑value band €10.12 – €10.97 · the €27.00 price screens above the €10.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Groupe Carnivor processes, packages, and distributes meat products in France. The company offers beef, calf, lamb, pork, poultry, sausage, and offal; and fresh produce, including dairy, cold cuts, fresh pasta, and prepared meals. It also provides deli meats, cheeses, grocery items, condiments, fruits, and vegetables.
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Groupe Carnivor processes, packages, and distributes meat products in France. The company offers beef, calf, lamb, pork, poultry, sausage, and offal; and fresh produce, including dairy, cold cuts, fresh pasta, and prepared meals. It also provides deli meats, cheeses, grocery items, condiments, fruits, and vegetables. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Toulon, France.
Stock analysis
Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) currently trades at €27.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.97, implying the stock looks roughly 146.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €14.46 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the €27.00 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €5.37, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €10.12 (bear) to €10.97 (bull), the price of €27.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Groupe Carnivor SA reported revenue of €528M in FY2024 versus €255M in FY2020, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was €743K in FY2024, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €63.5M · P/E ratio 84.4 · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) €0.3200 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Free cash flow −€12.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −59%, MLGRC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €10.12Fair Value €10.97Bull €10.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+22.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.7% vs −14.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 659 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−59.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.69× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)84.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.52× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA10.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)16· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)57· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Groupe Carnivor SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLGRC
Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.97 versus a price of €27.00, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLGRC?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Carnivor SA is €10.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €27.00.
What is the quality score of MLGRC?
Groupe Carnivor SA has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €10.12, optimistic scenario €10.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe Carnivor SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.97, about −59% upside versus a price of €27.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €10.12, optimistic scenario €10.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Groupe Carnivor SA pay a dividend?
Groupe Carnivor SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe Carnivor SA it is €10.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €27.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Groupe Carnivor SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, MLGRC trades above its calculated fair value: price €27.00, fair value €10.97, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLGRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€27.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.97). For Groupe Carnivor SA the two are €16.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe Carnivor SA worth?
The market values Groupe Carnivor SA at about €63.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €27.00; our models calculate a fair value of €10.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLGRC?
Our models span a range for Groupe Carnivor SA: cautious scenario €10.12, base €10.97, optimistic €10.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €27.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLGRC?
Groupe Carnivor SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 84.4 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €10.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, EV/EBITDA 10.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe Carnivor SA (as of Sep 29, 2026): debt of 1.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLGRC from its 52-week high?
Groupe Carnivor SA trades at €27.00, about 26% below its 52-week high of €36.40 and 55% above the low of €17.40 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe Carnivor SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe Carnivor SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €27.00, calculated fair value €10.97 (−59%), Quality Score 51/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLGRC calculated?
We run Groupe Carnivor SA through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €10.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Groupe Carnivor SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €27.00. Our model-based fair value is €10.97, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe Carnivor SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (€10.12 to €10.97), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) come from?
Earnings per share at Groupe Carnivor SA grew −11.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.4 %, EBIT margin −11.5 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Groupe Carnivor SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe Carnivor SA is €63.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe Carnivor SA is 0.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Carnivor SA are €0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 84.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The dividend yield of Groupe Carnivor SA is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The net margin of Groupe Carnivor SA is 0.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe Carnivor SA is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) generate?
The free cash flow of Groupe Carnivor SA is −€12.5M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) carry?
The net debt of Groupe Carnivor SA is €87.2M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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