Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Groupe Carnivor SA stock €18.48, price €27.00, that is 31.6% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €14.50 – €36.40 · fair‑value band €16.78 – €45.37 · the €27.00 price screens above the €18.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Groupe Carnivor processes, packages, and distributes meat products in France. The company offers beef, calf, lamb, pork, poultry, sausage, and offal; and fresh produce, including dairy, cold cuts, fresh pasta, and prepared meals.
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It also provides deli meats, cheeses, grocery items, condiments, fruits, and vegetables. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Toulon, France.
Stock analysis
Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) currently trades at €27.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.48, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €36.07 per share, and 10 of the 21 models we run sit above the €27.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €7.96, and 11 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €16.78 (bear) to €45.37 (bull), the price of €27.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Groupe Carnivor SA reported revenue of €596M in FY2025 versus €359M in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was €4.8M in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €63.5M Micro · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) €2.04 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% (5-year average) · Free cash flow €4.1M · Net debt €83.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −32%, MLGRC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€16.78Fair Value €18.48Bull€45.37
Price €27.00 · Downside -31.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.77 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.5% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.6% vs 7.8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
2025 sits 174% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 660 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−31.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.30× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.35× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)17.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA6.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)35· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Groupe Carnivor SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLGRC
Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €18.48 versus the last price from Oct 23, 2026 of €27.00, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLGRC?
Our model-based fair value for Groupe Carnivor SA is €18.48 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 23, 2026): €27.00.
What is the quality score of MLGRC?
Groupe Carnivor SA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €18.48 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario €16.78, optimistic scenario €45.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groupe Carnivor SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €18.48, about 32% lower versus the last price from Oct 23, 2026 of €27.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €16.78, optimistic scenario €45.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Groupe Carnivor SA would have to grow free cash flow by +29.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.5 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MLGRC use?
Our models discount Groupe Carnivor SA at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Groupe Carnivor SA that is +29.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Groupe Carnivor SA grew +18.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +29.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Groupe Carnivor SA (+29.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.38 %: that much free cash flow Groupe Carnivor SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groupe Carnivor SA it is €18.48 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of €27.00. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Groupe Carnivor SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, MLGRC trades above its calculated fair value: price €27.00, fair value €18.48, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLGRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€27.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€18.48). For Groupe Carnivor SA the two are €8.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groupe Carnivor SA worth?
The market values Groupe Carnivor SA at about €63.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is €27.00; our models calculate a fair value of €18.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLGRC?
Our models span a range for Groupe Carnivor SA: cautious scenario €16.78, base €18.48, optimistic €45.37 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price €27.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MLGRC?
Groupe Carnivor SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €18.48 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 22.0. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groupe Carnivor SA (as of Nov 12, 2026): debt of 1.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLGRC from its 52-week high?
Groupe Carnivor SA trades at €27.00, about 26% below its 52-week high of €36.40 and 55% above the low of €17.40 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €18.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groupe Carnivor SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groupe Carnivor SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price €27.00, calculated fair value €18.48 (−32%), Quality Score 55/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLGRC calculated?
We run Groupe Carnivor SA through 21 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €18.48 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Groupe Carnivor SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 23, 2026 and stands at €27.00. Our model-based fair value is €18.48, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groupe Carnivor SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€16.78 to €45.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) come from?
Earnings per share at Groupe Carnivor SA grew +1.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.0 %, EBIT margin −6.3 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Groupe Carnivor SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The market capitalisation of Groupe Carnivor SA is €63.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groupe Carnivor SA is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
Earnings per share at Groupe Carnivor SA are €2.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
The net margin of Groupe Carnivor SA is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groupe Carnivor SA is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Groupe Carnivor SA (MLGRC) carry?
The net debt of Groupe Carnivor SA is €83.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 12, 2026