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MainStreet Bancshares, Inc (MNSB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $170M

MB MainStreet Bancshares, Inc logo MainStreet Bancshares, Inc MNSB · US
Price$24.10
Fair Value$28.52
Upside+18.3%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.70% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $21.39 – $35.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $21.39 (bear) to $35.65 (bull), base $28.52. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.74 $14.53 Fair Value $28.52 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.53 – $27.74 · fair‑value band $21.39 – $35.65 · the $24.10 price screens below the $28.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

MainStreet Bancshares, Inc (MNSB) currently trades at $24.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.52, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MainStreet Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $74.0M at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at $43.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.39 (bear case) to $35.65 (bull case); at $24.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 18%, MNSB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $22.47 $22.76 $21.63 76
Gordon GGM $5.10 $8.53 $11.08 70
P/E Multiple $21.39 $28.52 $35.65 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.10 $8.53 $11.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.10 $8.09 $9.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.39 $28.52 $35.65 63
P/B Multiple $27.97 $37.29 $46.62 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.36 $20.58 $30.71 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.47 $22.76 $21.63 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($28.52) versus Dividend Discount ($8.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $74.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 23.3%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow $10.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 33.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.99
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +90.3%
Net debt $43.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MainStreet Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional service organizations.

Full company description

MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MainStreet Bank that provides various banking products and services for individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional service organizations. It offers demand, NOW, money market, savings, and sweep accounts, as well as certificates of deposit; business and consumer checking, interest-bearing checking, business account analysis, and other depository services; and cash management, wire transfer, check imaging, bill pay, remote deposit capture, and courier services. The company also provides commercial loans, include government contract receivables, plant and equipment, general working capital, contract administration, and acquisition loans; commercial real estate, real estate construction, and residential real estate loans; and consumer loans comprising term loans and overdraft protection, as well as debit and credit cards. In addition, it offers deposit insurance solutions; remote deposit of checks; and internet bill payment, online cash management, and online and mobile banking services. The company operates in Herndon, Fairfax, McLean, Clarendon, Leesburg, Middleburg, Virginia, and Washington D.C., as well as automated teller machines. MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. was formerly known as MainStreet Bank (Fairfax, VA) and changed its name to MainStreet Bancshares, Inc. in July 2016. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Fairfax, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MainStreet Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $136M in FY2025 versus $70.3M in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was $15.6M in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$136M
Latest YoY
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.7%
Revenue +17.9%/yr
FY21 $70.3M
FY22 $88.7M
FY23 $128M
FY24 $138M
FY25 $136M
Net income −8.4%/yr
FY21 $22.2M
FY22 $26.7M
FY23 $26.6M
FY24 −$10.0M
FY25 $15.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +17.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.1 pp

of which total revenue +23.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.7 pp

EBIT margin +0.3 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MainStreet Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MNSB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.78× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 39
FUTURE 19 · sector 44
PAST 33 · sector 41
HEALTH 84 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MainStreet Bancshares, Inc (MNSB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.52 versus a price of $24.10, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MNSB?
Our model-based fair value for MainStreet Bancshares, Inc is $28.52 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.10.
What is the quality score of MNSB?
MainStreet Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MainStreet Bancshares, Inc (MNSB)?
MainStreet Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $74.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MNSB?
The net profit margin of MainStreet Bancshares, Inc is about 23.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MainStreet Bancshares, Inc pay a dividend?
MainStreet Bancshares, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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