Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Modern Threads (India) Limited ₹59.55, price ₹45.66, upside +30.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range ₹22.05 – ₹73.90 · fair‑value band ₹42.48 – ₹74.43 · the ₹45.66 price screens below the ₹59.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Modern Threads (India) Limited manufactures and sells wool and blended worsted yarn products in India. It offers merino raw white and dyed re-combed wool tops; polyester/wool blended dyed re-combed tops; specialty and worsted woolen yarns; lanolin; wool grease; synthetic yarn; and wool noil and spinning waste products.
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Modern Threads (India) Limited manufactures and sells wool and blended worsted yarn products in India. It offers merino raw white and dyed re-combed wool tops; polyester/wool blended dyed re-combed tops; specialty and worsted woolen yarns; lanolin; wool grease; synthetic yarn; and wool noil and spinning waste products. It also exports its products to Europe and the Middle East, as well as Latin American, the Far eastern, and African countries. Modern Threads (India) Limited was founded in 1973 and is based in Bhilwara, India.
Stock analysis
Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD) currently trades at ₹45.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹59.55, implying the stock looks roughly 23.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹60.69 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹45.66 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹22.74, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹42.48 (bear) to ₹74.43 (bull), the price of ₹45.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Modern Threads (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹2.9B in FY2026 versus ₹2.2B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹122M in FY2026, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.8B (≈ $18.6M) · P/E ratio 13.0 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.51 · Net margin 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% · Free cash flow −₹159M · Net debt ₹279M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 30%, MODTHREAD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹42.48Fair Value ₹59.55Bull ₹74.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.78 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Compare Modern Threads (India) Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+30.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹59.55 versus a price of ₹45.66, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MODTHREAD?
Our model-based fair value for Modern Threads (India) Limited is ₹59.55 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹45.66.
What is the quality score of MODTHREAD?
Modern Threads (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹59.55 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹42.48, optimistic scenario ₹74.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Modern Threads (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹59.55, about +30% upside versus a price of ₹45.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹42.48, optimistic scenario ₹74.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Modern Threads (India) Limited it is ₹59.55 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹45.66. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Modern Threads (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, MODTHREAD trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹45.66, fair value ₹59.55, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MODTHREAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹45.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹59.55). For Modern Threads (India) Limited the two are ₹13.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Modern Threads (India) Limited worth?
The market values Modern Threads (India) Limited at about ₹1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹45.66; our models calculate a fair value of ₹59.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MODTHREAD?
Our models span a range for Modern Threads (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹42.48, base ₹59.55, optimistic ₹74.43 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹45.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MODTHREAD?
Modern Threads (India) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹59.55 is built from several models across several years.
How far is MODTHREAD from its 52-week high?
Modern Threads (India) Limited trades at ₹45.66, about 22% below its 52-week high of ₹58.31 and 26% above the low of ₹36.16 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹59.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Modern Threads (India) Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Modern Threads (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹45.66, calculated fair value ₹59.55 (+30%), Quality Score 52/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MODTHREAD calculated?
We run Modern Threads (India) Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹59.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Modern Threads (India) Limited currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹45.66. Our model-based fair value is ₹59.55, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Modern Threads (India) Limited right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Modern Threads (India) Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
The market capitalisation of Modern Threads (India) Limited is ₹1.8B (≈ $18.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Modern Threads (India) Limited is 0.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
Earnings per share at Modern Threads (India) Limited are ₹3.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
The net margin of Modern Threads (India) Limited is 4.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Modern Threads (India) Limited is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD) generate?
The free cash flow of Modern Threads (India) Limited is −₹159M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Modern Threads (India) Limited (MODTHREAD) carry?
The net debt of Modern Threads (India) Limited is ₹279M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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