Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited ₹373, price ₹659, upside -43.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹417.17 – ₹1,071 · fair‑value band ₹267.73 – ₹466.03 · the ₹658.85 price screens above the ₹372.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Mold-Tek Packaging Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic packaging containers in India. It offers sanitizer, tablet, and food containers; dispensing pumps; and lubricant and paint pails packaging products. It also exports its products.
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Mold-Tek Packaging Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic packaging containers in India. It offers sanitizer, tablet, and food containers; dispensing pumps; and lubricant and paint pails packaging products. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Moldtek Plastics Limited and changed its name to Mold-Tek Packaging Limited in March 2010. Mold-Tek Packaging Limited was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) currently trades at ₹658.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹372.83, 43.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹382.48 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹658.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹44.26, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹267.73 (bear) to ₹466.03 (bull), the price of ₹658.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited reported revenue of ₹8.9B in FY2026 versus ₹6.3B in FY2022, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹729M in FY2026, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹21.9B (≈ $227M) · P/E ratio 28.8 · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹22.89 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −43%, MOLDTKPAC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹267.73Fair Value ₹372.83Bull ₹466.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹11.66 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.4% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.3% vs 9.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 13%
Compare Mold-Tek Packaging Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−43.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.0% · Above median
Return on assets7.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.8× · Pricier than median
P/B3.17× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.31× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)44· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹372.83 versus a price of ₹658.85, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOLDTKPAC?
Our model-based fair value for Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is ₹372.83 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹658.85.
What is the quality score of MOLDTKPAC?
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹372.83 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹267.73, optimistic scenario ₹466.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mold-Tek Packaging Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹372.83, about −43% upside versus a price of ₹658.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹267.73, optimistic scenario ₹466.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹9.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Mold-Tek Packaging Limited pay a dividend?
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.61% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mold-Tek Packaging Limited it is ₹372.83 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹658.85. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mold-Tek Packaging Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, MOLDTKPAC trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹658.85, fair value ₹372.83, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOLDTKPAC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹658.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹372.83). For Mold-Tek Packaging Limited the two are ₹286.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mold-Tek Packaging Limited worth?
The market values Mold-Tek Packaging Limited at about ₹21.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹658.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹372.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOLDTKPAC?
Our models span a range for Mold-Tek Packaging Limited: cautious scenario ₹267.73, base ₹372.83, optimistic ₹466.03 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹658.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOLDTKPAC?
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.8 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹372.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 12.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOLDTKPAC from its 52-week high?
Mold-Tek Packaging Limited trades at ₹658.85, about 16% below its 52-week high of ₹785.97 and 40% above the low of ₹471.08 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹372.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mold-Tek Packaging Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mold-Tek Packaging Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹658.85, calculated fair value ₹372.83 (−43%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOLDTKPAC calculated?
We run Mold-Tek Packaging Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹372.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mold-Tek Packaging Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹658.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹372.83, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mold-Tek Packaging Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹466.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) come from?
Earnings per share at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited grew +10.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The market capitalisation of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is ₹21.9B (≈ $227M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 2.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Earnings per share at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited are ₹22.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The dividend yield of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 0.6% (payout 17.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The net margin of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 8.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
The operating margin of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Revenue at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is growing +24.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC)?
Earnings per share at Mold-Tek Packaging Limited are growing +14.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) generate?
The free cash flow of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is −₹359M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) carry?
The net debt of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited is ₹2.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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