Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A (MOLI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AR · Market cap 538B ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 6,867 ARS to 2,641 ARS (−61.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (1,522 ARS to 3,760 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 57.08 ARS – 5,960 ARS · fair‑value band 1,522 ARS – 3,760 ARS · the 2,670 ARS price screens above the 2,641 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A (MOLI) currently trades at 2,670 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,641 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A generated revenue of 952B ARS at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.6%. Net debt stands at 218B ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,522 ARS (bear case) to 3,760 ARS (bull case); at 2,670 ARS, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -1%, MOLI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (281,447 ARS) versus Multiples (2,641 ARS). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. engages in the industrialization and commercialization of food and alcoholic beverages in Argentina and internationally. It operates through Foods and Wineries segments. The company offers edible oils, pasta, dried, frozen, fractionated flour, grass, rice, wines, and sparkling wines. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A.
Full company description
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. engages in the industrialization and commercialization of food and alcoholic beverages in Argentina and internationally. It operates through Foods and Wineries segments. The company offers edible oils, pasta, dried, frozen, fractionated flour, grass, rice, wines, and sparkling wines. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. was incorporated in 1931 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A reported revenue of 952B ARS in FY2025 versus 66.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +94.5%/yr. Reported net income was −40.7B ARS in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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