Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA ARS 2,713, price ARS 2,535, upside +7.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 57.08 ARS – 5,960 ARS · fair‑value band 1,962 ARS – 4,163 ARS · the 2,535 ARS price screens below the 2,713 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. engages in the industrialization and commercialization of food and alcoholic beverages in Argentina and internationally. It operates through Foods and Wineries segments. The company offers edible oils, pasta, dried, frozen, fractionated flour, grass, rice, wines, and sparkling wines. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A.
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Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. engages in the industrialization and commercialization of food and alcoholic beverages in Argentina and internationally. It operates through Foods and Wineries segments. The company offers edible oils, pasta, dried, frozen, fractionated flour, grass, rice, wines, and sparkling wines. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. was incorporated in 1931 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) currently trades at 2,535 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,713 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 6,232 ARS per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the 2,535 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 836.53 ARS, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1,962 ARS (bear) to 4,163 ARS (bull), the price of 2,535 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA reported revenue of 952B ARS in FY2025 versus 66.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +94.5%/yr. Reported net income was −40.7B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 511B ARS (≈ $357M) · P/E ratio 333.0 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) 7.58 ARS · Net margin −4.3% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 1.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 7%, MOLI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,962 ARSFair Value 2,713 ARSBull 4,163 ARS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.0% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +6.5% a year for the price.
Compare Molinos Rio de la Plata SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)19.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Molinos Rio de la Plata SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOLI
Frequently asked questions
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,713 ARS versus a price of 2,535 ARS, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MOLI?
Our model-based fair value for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 2,713 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,535 ARS.
What is the quality score of MOLI?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,713 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,962 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,163 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,713 ARS, about +7% upside versus a price of 2,535 ARS (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,962 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,163 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 952B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Molinos Rio de la Plata SA would have to grow free cash flow by +21.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 20.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +83.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MOLI use?
Our models discount Molinos Rio de la Plata SA at 20.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA that is +21.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (20.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA grew +83.2 % a year. The price currently implies +21.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (+21.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.27 %: that much free cash flow Molinos Rio de la Plata SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (20.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA it is 2,713 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2,535 ARS. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MOLI trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,535 ARS, fair value 2,713 ARS, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,535 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,713 ARS). For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA the two are 178.26 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA worth?
The market values Molinos Rio de la Plata SA at about 511B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2,535 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 2,713 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOLI?
Our models span a range for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA: cautious scenario 1,962 ARS, base 2,713 ARS, optimistic 4,163 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2,535 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOLI?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 333.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,713 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 11.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −12.6%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOLI from its 52-week high?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA trades at 2,535 ARS, about 38% below its 52-week high of 4,085 ARS and 16% above the low of 2,180 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,713 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Molinos Rio de la Plata SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2,535 ARS, calculated fair value 2,713 ARS (+7%), Quality Score 39/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOLI calculated?
We run Molinos Rio de la Plata SA through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,713 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Molinos Rio de la Plata SA currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2,535 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 2,713 ARS, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Molinos Rio de la Plata SA right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (1,962 ARS to 4,163 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The market capitalisation of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 511B ARS (≈ $357M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 0.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Earnings per share at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA are 7.58 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 333.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The net margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is −4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The operating margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Revenue at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +90.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Earnings per share at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA are growing −81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) carry?
The net debt of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 218B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026