Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock ARS 2,514, price ARS 1,955, upside +28.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 60.77 ARS – 5,960 ARS · fair‑value band 1,782 ARS – 3,760 ARS · the 1,955 ARS price screens below the 2,514 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. engages in the industrialization and commercialization of food and alcoholic beverages in Argentina and internationally. It operates through Foods and Wineries segments.
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The company offers edible oils, pasta, dried, frozen, fractionated flour, grass, rice, wines, and sparkling wines. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. was incorporated in 1931 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) currently trades at 1,955 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,514 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 22% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 3,241 ARS per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the 1,955 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 674.79 ARS, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1,782 ARS (bear) to 3,760 ARS (bull), the price of 1,955 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA reported revenue of 952B ARS in FY2025 versus 66.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +94.5%/yr. Reported net income was −40.7B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 398B ARS (≈ $257M) Micro · P/E ratio 23.2 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 83.75 ARS · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 29%, MOLI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,782 ARSFair Value 2,514 ARSBull3,760 ARS
Price 1,955 ARS · Upside +28.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.0% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +5.0% a year for the price.
Compare Molinos Rio de la Plata SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+28.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.0% · Below median
Return on assets−5.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)19.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Molinos Rio de la Plata SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOLI
Frequently asked questions
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,514 ARS versus a price of 1,955 ARS, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOLI?
Our model-based fair value for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 2,514 ARS (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,955 ARS.
What is the quality score of MOLI?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,514 ARS (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,782 ARS, optimistic scenario 3,760 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,514 ARS, about +29% upside versus a price of 1,955 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,782 ARS, optimistic scenario 3,760 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 912B ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Molinos Rio de la Plata SA would have to grow free cash flow by +19.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 22.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +83.2 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MOLI use?
Our models discount Molinos Rio de la Plata SA at 22.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA that is +19.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (22.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA grew +83.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +19.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (+19.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.61 %: that much free cash flow Molinos Rio de la Plata SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (22.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA it is 2,514 ARS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 1,955 ARS. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, MOLI trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,955 ARS, fair value 2,514 ARS, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,955 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,514 ARS). For Molinos Rio de la Plata SA the two are 559.09 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA worth?
The market values Molinos Rio de la Plata SA at about 398B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 1,955 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 2,514 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOLI?
Our models span a range for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA: cautious scenario 1,782 ARS, base 2,514 ARS, optimistic 3,760 ARS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 1,955 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOLI?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,514 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2019 to 2024), reported earnings: 9.5. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 7.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 7.0%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOLI from its 52-week high?
Molinos Rio de la Plata SA trades at 1,955 ARS, about 52% below its 52-week high of 4,085 ARS and at the low of 1,950 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,514 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Molinos Rio de la Plata SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Molinos Rio de la Plata SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 1,955 ARS, calculated fair value 2,514 ARS (+29%), Quality Score 38/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOLI calculated?
We run Molinos Rio de la Plata SA through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 2,514 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Molinos Rio de la Plata SA currently trades 22% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1,955 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 2,514 ARS, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Molinos Rio de la Plata SA right now?
A fairly wide model range (1,782 ARS to 3,760 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The market capitalisation of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 398B ARS (≈ $257M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Earnings per share at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA are 83.75 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The net margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
The operating margin of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Revenue at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is growing −5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +90.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI)?
Earnings per share at Molinos Rio de la Plata SA are growing −81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Molinos Rio de la Plata SA (MOLI) carry?
The net debt of Molinos Rio de la Plata SA is 218B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026