Murata Manufacturing Co (MRAAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $134B
Murata Manufacturing Co
MRAAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −19.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.64 to $20.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.92 – $78.00 · fair‑value band $10.64 – $20.04 · the $45.50 price screens above the $15.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Murata Manufacturing Co (MRAAF) currently trades at $45.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.57, implying the stock looks roughly 65.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Murata Manufacturing Co generated revenue of $1.8T at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $603B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.64 (bear case) to $20.04 (bull case); at $45.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 266% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -66%, MRAAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.69) versus Earnings-Based ($4.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells ceramic-based passive electronic components and solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Components, Devices & Modules, and Other.
Full company description
Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells ceramic-based passive electronic components and solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Components, Devices & Modules, and Other. The company offers capacitors; inductors; high frequency device and communication modules, including surface acoustic wave filters, RF modules, multilayer resin substrates, and connectivity modules; lithium-ion secondary batteries; and sensors; antennas and related products; baluns; and batteries. It also offers Femtet, a CAE software; capacitors; cell fractionation filters; connectivity modules; connectors; couplers; digital panel meters; filters; front-end modules; inductors; ionizers; micro mechatronics; watch batteries; noise suppression products; and optical devices. In addition, the company provides phase shifters, power products, printed circuit products, resistors, RF switches, RFID products, sensors, sound components, thermistors, timing devices, and transformers. It offers its products for use in communications equipment, mobility, data center and enterprise computing, industrial, wellness, personal electronics, and environment/energy applications. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Nagaokakyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Murata Manufacturing Co reported revenue of $1.8T in FY2026 versus $1.6T in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $235B in FY2026, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2022.
MRAAF screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Murata Manufacturing GAAP EPS of ¥44.70, revenue of ¥502.26B; updates FY 2027 outlook
- Is Murata Manufacturing (MRAAY) Stock Outpacing Its Industrial Products Peers This Year?
- Murata Manufacturing Inc. (MRAAY) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
- Murata Expands Product Information Management API Service to Cover All 73 Product Categories
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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