Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.9T
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $352.83 – $538.66 · fair‑value band $159.08 – $358.36 · the $401.10 price screens above the $274.17 fair value. As of Jul 13, 2026.
✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →Analysis
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently trades at $401.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $274.17, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Microsoft Corporation generated revenue of $318B at a net margin of 39.3%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.0%. Net debt stands at $30.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $159.08 (bear case) to $358.36 (bull case); at $401.10, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -32%, MSFT screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Microsoft Corporation develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 commercial, enterprise mobility + security, windows commercial, power BI, exchange, sharepoint, Microsoft teams, security and compliance, and copilot; Microsoft 365 commercial products, such as Windows commercial on-premises and office licensed services; Microsoft 365 consumer products and cloud services, including Microsoft 365 consumer subscriptions, office licensed on-premises, and other consumer services; LinkedIn; dynamics products and cloud services, such as dynamics 365, cloud-based applications, and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. Its Intelligent Cloud segment provides Server products and cloud services comprising Azure and other cloud services, GitHub, Nuance Healthcare, virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services; server products, including SQL and windows server, visual studio and system …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Microsoft Corporation reported revenue of $282B in FY2025 versus $168B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $102B in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.
Is MSFT fairly valued? → Check now
Recent news
- 3M (MMM) Teams Up With Microsoft As Its Undervalued Narrative Faces A Valuation Test
- Network School founder says immigration probe at tech commune is a risk to Malaysia's tech ambitions
- 'Big Short' Investor Steve Eisman Says AI Has 'No Moats,' Which Is 'Not A Recipe For Longevity'
- ROSEN, LEADING TRIAL ATTORNEYS, Encourages Microsoft Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action – MSFT
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.10 | -77% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $145.39 | $70.91 | -51% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $508.35 | $113.01 | -78% |
| Block, Inc SQ3 | €63.80 | €73.04 | +14% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $111.29 | $22.35 | -80% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $167.04 | $93.30 | -44% |
| VeriSign, Inc VRSN34 | R$373.00 | R$50.51 | -86% |
| F5, Inc F1FI34 | R$479.00 | R$416.97 | -13% |
| Corpay, Inc CPAY34 | R$386.10 | R$541.12 | +40% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) undervalued?
What is the fair value of MSFT?
What is the quality score of MSFT?
What is the revenue of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)?
What is the net profit margin of MSFT?
Does Microsoft Corporation pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Tell me when Microsoft Corporation reaches its Fair Value
Just your email, and we'll notify you when the price and Fair Value of Microsoft Corporation materially change. Free bonus: the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks.
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click. Not financial advice.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.