NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. ₹64.44, price ₹39.00, upside +65.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹32.15 – ₹83.86 · fair‑value band ₹48.33 – ₹74.58 · the ₹39.00 price screens below the ₹64.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS) currently trades at ₹39.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹64.44, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹64.44 per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹39.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹33.41, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹48.33 (bear) to ₹74.58 (bull), the price of ₹39.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.0B in FY2026 versus ₹816M in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹34.6M in FY2026, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹356M (≈ $3.7M) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.53 · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 65%, NATPLAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹48.33Fair Value ₹64.44Bull ₹74.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.80 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.8%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Plastic Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3308 stocks
Beats the sector median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+65.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Return on assets5.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−29.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹64.44 versus a price of ₹39.00, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NATPLAS?
Our model-based fair value for NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹64.44 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹39.00.
What is the quality score of NATPLAS?
NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹64.44 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹48.33, optimistic scenario ₹74.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹64.44, about +65% upside versus a price of ₹39.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹48.33, optimistic scenario ₹74.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹966M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. it is ₹64.44 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹39.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NATPLAS trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹39.00, fair value ₹64.44, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NATPLAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹39.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹64.44). For NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. the two are ₹25.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. worth?
The market values NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. at about ₹356M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹39.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹64.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NATPLAS?
Our models span a range for NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹48.33, base ₹64.44, optimistic ₹74.58 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹39.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NATPLAS?
NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹64.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NATPLAS from its 52-week high?
NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at ₹39.00, about 33% below its 52-week high of ₹58.40 and 1% above the low of ₹38.48 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹64.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD.?
From the same area (Materials) we also value PRIMAPLA, AKTR, DAIOS, TGVSL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹39.00, calculated fair value ₹64.44 (+65%), Quality Score 59/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NATPLAS calculated?
We run NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹64.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹39.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹64.44, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹48.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The market capitalisation of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹356M (≈ $3.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is 0.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Earnings per share at NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. are ₹3.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The net margin of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is 3.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
The operating margin of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Revenue at NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is growing −29.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS)?
Earnings per share at NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. are growing −27.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS) generate?
The free cash flow of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is −₹14.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. (NATPLAS) carry?
The net debt of NATIONAL PLASTIC INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹221M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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