NBT Bancorp Inc (NBTB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of NBT Bancorp Inc $34.77, price $50.48, upside -31.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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NBT Bancorp Inc
NBTB · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.31 – $54.26 · fair‑value band $29.85 – $49.09 · the $50.48 price screens above the $34.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments.
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NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments. The company offers demand deposit, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts; and indirect and direct consumer loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, residential mortgages, business banking loans, commercial and industrial loans, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, commercial real estate loans, indirect auto loans, and other consumer loans, as well as agricultural lending, personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and second mortgage loans. It also provides trust and investment services; financial planning and life insurance services; and retirement plan and health savings account recordkeeping and administration, and actuarial services. In addition, the company offers insurance products, such as personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance; and other products and services through a network of ATM locations and 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels that enable customers to check balances, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, access statements, apply for loans, and access various other products and services. Further, it operates as a property management and passive investment company, as well as investment advisor that provides investment management and financial consulting services. The company serves retail, commercial, and municipal customers. It operates in upstate New York, northeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Hampshire, western Massachusetts, Vermont, southern Maine, and central and northwestern Connecticut. NBT Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Norwich, New York.
Stock analysis
NBT Bancorp Inc (NBTB) currently trades at $50.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.77, implying the stock looks roughly 45.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $42.30 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $50.48 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.23, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $29.85 (bear) to $49.09 (bull), the price of $50.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
NBT Bancorp Inc reported revenue of $867M in FY2025 versus $495M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $169M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.6B · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 2.68 · EPS (TTM) $3.67 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 19.5% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −31%, NBTB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
NBTB screens 45% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →
Compare NBT Bancorp Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 77.69 SGD | 40.48 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 3968 | HK$51.25 | HK$62.30 | +22% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.73 | €4.04 | −40% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹737.25 | ₹406.85 | −45% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €101.30 | €105.99 | +5% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €83.28 | €77.62 | −7% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $10.87 | $6.75 | −38% |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,340 | ₹616.16 | −54% |
| The PNC Financial Services Group PNC | $227.96 | $159.52 | −30% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.14 SGD | 19.80 SGD | −38% |
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Key figures of NBT Bancorp Inc
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