NBT Bancorp Inc (NBTB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NBT Bancorp Inc stock $34.82, price $52.83, that is 34.1% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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NBT Bancorp Inc
NBTB · USOur calculation puts a fair price 34% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.11 – $54.00 · fair‑value band $29.89 – $49.16 · the $52.83 price screens above the $34.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments.
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The company offers demand deposit, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts; and indirect and direct consumer loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, residential mortgages, business banking loans, commercial and industrial loans, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, commercial real estate loans, indirect auto loans, and other consumer loans, as well as agricultural lending, personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and second mortgage loans.
It also provides trust and investment services; financial planning and life insurance services; and retirement plan and health savings account recordkeeping and administration, and actuarial services.
In addition, the company offers insurance products, such as personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance; and other products and services through a network of ATM locations and 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels that enable customers to check balances, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, access statements, apply for loans, and access various other products and services.
Further, it operates as a property management and passive investment company, as well as investment advisor that provides investment management and financial consulting services. The company serves retail, commercial, and municipal customers.
It operates in upstate New York, northeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Hampshire, western Massachusetts, Vermont, southern Maine, and central and northwestern Connecticut. NBT Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Norwich, New York.
Stock analysis
NBT Bancorp Inc (NBTB) currently trades at $52.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.82, 34% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $39.85 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $52.83 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.87, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $29.89 (bear) to $49.16 (bull), the price of $52.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
NBT Bancorp Inc reported revenue of $867M in FY2025 versus $495M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was $169M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B Mid · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 3.82 · EPS (TTM) $4.17 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 29.7% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −34%, NBTB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $2.1M and none bought.
- SaleSarah A HallidayEVP/Chief Comm Innovation Off9,000 shares at $54.04$486,360Jul 29, 2026
- SaleRuth H MahoneyEVP/President of Wealth Mgmt2× since Jun 5, 2026: 9,500 shares, avg. $50.25$477,350Jul 29, 2026
- SaleHeidi M HoellerDirector2,100 shares at $48.04$100,884Jun 12, 2026
- SaleMartin Randolph SparksEVP,General Counsel,Secretary2× since Mar 13, 2026: 3,600 shares, avg. $43.55$156,768Jun 12, 2026
- SaleJohn H Watt JrDirector21,000 shares at $47.42$995,820Jun 9, 2026
- SaleAmy WilesEVP, Chief Risk and Credit4,435 shares at $45.72$202,768Feb 17, 2026
- BuyTimothy E DelaneyDirector22,730 shares at $42.97$976,708Jan 28, 2026
Plus 15 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
NBTB screens overvalued: fair value 34% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →
Recent news
- NBTB Q3 deep dive: loan growth and margin expansion offset by expense pressures
- 5 insightful analyst questions from NBT Bancorp’s Q3 earnings call
- NBT (NBTB) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
- NBT Bancorp (NBTB) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
Compare NBT Bancorp Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Price/FCF by industry
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 | ¥5.53 | ¥7.59 | +37% | vs NBTB |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥42.88 | ¥52.73 | +23% | vs NBTB |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.93 | €106.01 | +15% | vs NBTB |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.18 | €4.49 | −27% | vs NBTB |
| State Bank of India SBIN | ₹1,019 | ₹736.65 | −28% | vs NBTB |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €76.80 | €50.44 | −34% | vs NBTB |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $9.40 | $5.89 | −37% | vs NBTB |
| DBS Group D05 | 69.72 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −42% | vs NBTB |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹788.25 | ₹406.39 | −48% | vs NBTB |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,571 | ₹615.63 | −61% | vs NBTB |
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Key figures of NBT Bancorp Inc
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