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NCC Limited (NCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹93.9B

NL NCC Limited NCC · BSE
Price₹149.55
Fair Value₹207.79
Upside+38.9%
Quality41/100
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Strengths

Trades 39% below our fair value of ₹207.79
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹128.77 – ₹239.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price +10.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹128.77 to ₹239.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹346.62 ₹49.16 Fair Value ₹207.79 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹49.16 – ₹346.62 · fair‑value band ₹128.77 – ₹239.14 · the ₹149.55 price screens below the ₹207.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

NCC Limited (NCC) currently trades at ₹149.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹207.79, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NCC Limited generated revenue of ₹212B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at ₹27.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹128.77 (bear case) to ₹239.14 (bull case); at ₹149.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 39%, NCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹106.06 ₹114.98 ₹146.12 76
ROIC Compounder ₹228.18 ₹308.59 ₹413.74 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹128.77 ₹183.96 ₹239.14 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹73.14 ₹295.53 ₹402.04 54
Lynch FV ₹73.79 ₹105.41 ₹137.03 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹73.79 ₹105.41 ₹137.03 46
EPV ₹205.02 ₹241.45 ₹273.32 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹169.41 ₹225.88 ₹282.35 63
P/S Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹311.57 ₹419.94 ₹528.31 53
EV/EBITDA ₹271.59 ₹366.63 ₹461.67 54
EV/Revenue ₹218.50 ₹317.95 ₹417.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹62.67 ₹83.97 ₹125.33 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹106.06 ₹114.98 ₹146.12 76
ROIC Compounder ₹228.18 ₹308.59 ₹413.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹128.77 ₹183.96 ₹239.14 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹225.88) versus Asset-Based (₹83.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹212B
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.6%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow −₹14.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 11.8
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹12.64
EPS growth (YoY) -5.4%
Net debt ₹27.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NCC Limited engages in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company constructs industrial and commercial buildings, housing projects, IT parks, sports complexes, hospitals, stadiums, and highways, as well as roads, flyovers, bridges, etc.

Full company description

NCC Limited engages in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company constructs industrial and commercial buildings, housing projects, IT parks, sports complexes, hospitals, stadiums, and highways, as well as roads, flyovers, bridges, etc. It also undertakes design, engineering, erection, testing, and commissioning of transmission lines, sub-stations, voltage distribution system, and feeder separation schemes, as well as earth works, track linking, and overhead electrification; and railway projects, which include freight corridors and railway sidings. In addition, the company constructs water supply systems, water treatment plants, distribution networks, river intake works, electro-mechanical works, underground drainage networks, lift irrigation schemes, and sewage pumping stations and treatment plants; and dams and reservoirs, canals, tunnels, and hydroelectric power projects, as well as barrages, spillways, and aqueducts. Further, it operates power and metal business; and provision of mine developer-cum-operator services, as well as removal of overburden and extraction of coal, lignite, and other minerals from open cast mines. The company was formerly known as Nagarjuna Construction Company Limited and changed its name to NCC Limited in March 2011. NCC Limited was founded in 1978 and is based in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NCC Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹111B in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.8B in FY2026, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹208B
Latest YoY
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY22 ₹111B
FY23 ₹156B
FY24 ₹208B
FY25 ₹222B
FY26 ₹208B
Net income +8.8%/yr
FY22 ₹4.8B
FY23 ₹6.1B
FY24 ₹7.1B
FY25 ₹8.2B
FY26 ₹6.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NCC Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NCC

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 832 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.52× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE85 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 17
PAST46 · sector 25
HEALTH91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND29 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 -46%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹228.50 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 33,250 KRW 23,135 KRW -30%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NCC Limited (NCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹207.79 versus a price of ₹149.55, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NCC?
Our model-based fair value for NCC Limited is ₹207.79 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹149.55.
What is the quality score of NCC?
NCC Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NCC Limited (NCC)?
NCC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹212B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NCC?
The net profit margin of NCC Limited is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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