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NCC Limited (NCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹94.5B

NL NCC Limited NCC · NSE
Price₹146.45
Fair Value₹232.94
Upside+59.1%
Quality35/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ₹144.85 – ₹269.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ₹225.88 to ₹232.94 (+3.1%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹144.85 to ₹269.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹351.98 ₹49.87 Fair Value ₹232.94 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹49.87 – ₹351.98 · fair‑value band ₹144.85 – ₹269.00 · the ₹146.45 price screens below the ₹232.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

NCC Limited (NCC) currently trades at ₹146.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹232.94, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NCC Limited generated revenue of ₹208B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at ₹21.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹144.85 (bear case) to ₹269.00 (bull case); at ₹146.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 59%, NCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹105.86 ₹114.73 ₹147.65 76
ROIC Compounder ₹227.51 ₹304.02 ₹403.65 72
Gordon GGM ₹20.20 ₹42.00 ₹66.63 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹73.14 ₹295.74 ₹402.35 54
Lynch FV ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 46
EPV ₹204.99 ₹239.69 ₹270.06 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹20.20 ₹42.00 ₹66.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹20.20 ₹35.42 ₹44.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹169.41 ₹225.88 ₹282.35 63
P/S Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹321.87 ₹430.24 ₹538.61 53
EV/EBITDA ₹281.88 ₹376.93 ₹471.97 54
EV/Revenue ₹228.80 ₹328.24 ₹427.69 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹62.67 ₹83.97 ₹125.33 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹105.86 ₹114.73 ₹147.65 76
ROIC Compounder ₹227.51 ₹304.02 ₹403.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹128.84 ₹184.05 ₹239.27 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹225.88) versus Dividend Discount (₹35.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹208B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow −₹21.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹10.76
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net debt ₹21.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NCC Limited operates in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through the Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments.

Full company description

NCC Limited operates in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through the Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company constructs buildings, including hospitals, medical colleges, airports, sports complexes, housing projects, IT parks, and industrial and commercial buildings; transportation projects comprising access-controlled highways, road EPC projects, airstrips, metros, tunnels, bridges, and flyovers; and water and environment projects, such as water supply projects, water treatment plants, water distribution networks, underground drainage, and sewage treatment plants. It also engages in the irrigation projects, including lift irrigation schemes, dams, reservoirs, canals, tunnels, barrages, spillways, and aqueducts; mining projects that consist of overburden removal, coal excavation and transportation, and mine development and operation; railway projects, which include civil EPC, track laying, signaling and telecommunication, dedicated freight corridor, and high-speed rail; and electrical projects comprising transmission and distribution lines, substations, project electrification, and system improvements and smart meters. The company was formerly known as Nagarjuna Construction Company Limited and changed its name to NCC Limited in March 2011. NCC Limited was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NCC Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹111B in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.8B in FY2026, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹208B
Latest YoY
−6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY22 ₹111B
FY23 ₹156B
FY24 ₹208B
FY25 ₹222B
FY26 ₹208B
Net income +8.8%/yr
FY22 ₹4.8B
FY23 ₹6.1B
FY24 ₹7.1B
FY25 ₹8.2B
FY26 ₹6.8B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +27.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 pp

of which total revenue +9.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.4 pp

EBIT margin −5.5 pp
Tax rate +3.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +22.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NCC Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NCC

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 9 · sector 17
PAST 37 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NCC Limited (NCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹232.94 versus a price of ₹146.45, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NCC?
Our model-based fair value for NCC Limited is ₹232.94 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹146.45.
What is the quality score of NCC?
NCC Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NCC Limited (NCC)?
NCC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹208B (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NCC?
The net profit margin of NCC Limited is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NCC Limited pay a dividend?
NCC Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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