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Data-driven stock valuation

NCC Limited (NCC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NCC Limited stock ₹197, price ₹123, upside +60.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials IN · ISIN INE868B01028

NL NCC Limited logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

NCC Limited

NCC · NSE
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ₹196.54 · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 12% above the price (₹137.59).
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +21.2 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
1.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Quality 35/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 32/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹351.98 ₹49.87 Fair Value ₹196.54 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹49.87 – ₹351.98 · fair‑value band ₹137.59 – ₹255.51 · the ₹122.84 price screens below the ₹196.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

NCC Limited operates in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through the Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments.

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The company constructs buildings, including hospitals, medical colleges, airports, sports complexes, housing projects, IT parks, and industrial and commercial buildings; transportation projects comprising access-controlled highways, road EPC projects, airstrips, metros, tunnels, bridges, and flyovers; and water and environment projects, such as water supply projects, water treatment plants, water distribution networks, underground drainage, and sewage treatment plants.

It also engages in the irrigation projects, including lift irrigation schemes, dams, reservoirs, canals, tunnels, barrages, spillways, and aqueducts; mining projects that consist of overburden removal, coal excavation and transportation, and mine development and operation; railway projects, which include civil EPC, track laying, signaling and telecommunication, dedicated freight corridor, and high-speed rail; and electrical projects comprising transmission and distribution lines, substations, project electrification, and system improvements and smart meters.

The company was formerly known as Nagarjuna Construction Company Limited and changed its name to NCC Limited in March 2011. NCC Limited was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Stock analysis

NCC Limited (NCC) currently trades at ₹122.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹196.54, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹261.42 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹122.84 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹24.87, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹137.59 (bear) to ₹255.51 (bull), the price of ₹122.84 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

NCC Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹111B in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.8B in FY2026, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹77.1B (≈ $821M) Small · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.61 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 60%, NCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹137.59 Fair Value ₹196.54 Bull ₹255.51
Price ₹122.84 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.75 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ₹95.35 ₹98.08 ₹108.02 76
EPV ₹152.32 ₹170.90 ₹185.98 74
ROIC Compounder ₹159.25 ₹193.36 ₹233.23 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹73.14 ₹295.74 ₹402.35 64
Lynch FV ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 57
EPV ₹152.32 ₹170.90 ₹185.98 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹15.27 ₹25.51 ₹33.06 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹15.27 ₹24.22 ₹27.45 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹169.41 ₹225.88 ₹282.35 63
P/S Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹112.52 ₹150.02 ₹187.53 55
EV/EBIT ₹290.58 ₹398.95 ₹507.32 66
EV/EBITDA ₹250.59 ₹345.64 ₹440.68 67
EV/Revenue ₹197.51 ₹296.95 ₹396.40 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹43.17 ₹65.40 ₹81.75 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹95.35 ₹98.08 ₹108.02 76
ROIC Compounder ₹159.25 ₹193.36 ₹233.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹128.84 ₹184.05 ₹239.27 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 33
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 35
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 54
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 78
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.0% vs 24.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.3% · Above median
Return on assets 2.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 12.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)61 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)36 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs NCC
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs NCC
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs NCC
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs NCC
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs NCC
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs NCC
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs NCC
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs NCC
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs NCC
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs NCC

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NCC Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

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Frequently asked questions

Is NCC Limited (NCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹196.54 versus a price of ₹122.84, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NCC?
Our model-based fair value for NCC Limited is ₹196.54 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹122.84.
What is the quality score of NCC?
NCC Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NCC Limited (NCC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹196.54 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹137.59, optimistic scenario ₹255.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NCC Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹196.54, about +60% upside versus a price of ₹122.84 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹137.59, optimistic scenario ₹255.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NCC Limited (NCC)?
NCC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹215B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does NCC Limited pay a dividend?
NCC Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of NCC Limited (NCC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
NCC Limited pays a dividend of ₹2.20 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 18.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of NCC Limited (NCC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NCC Limited it is ₹196.54 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ₹122.84. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is NCC Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, NCC trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹122.84, fair value ₹196.54, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NCC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹122.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹196.54). For NCC Limited the two are ₹73.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NCC Limited worth?
The market values NCC Limited at about ₹77.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ₹122.84; our models calculate a fair value of ₹196.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NCC?
Our models span a range for NCC Limited: cautious scenario ₹137.59, base ₹196.54, optimistic ₹255.51 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ₹122.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NCC?
NCC Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹196.54 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 14.1. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of NCC Limited (NCC)?
Balance-sheet figures for NCC Limited (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NCC from its 52-week high?
NCC Limited trades at ₹122.84, about 37% below its 52-week high of ₹195.54 and 7% above the low of ₹114.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹196.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NCC Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NCC Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ₹122.84, calculated fair value ₹196.54 (+60%), Quality Score 35/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NCC calculated?
We run NCC Limited through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹196.54 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NCC Limited currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ₹122.84. Our model-based fair value is ₹196.54, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NCC Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹137.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (₹137.59 to ₹255.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of NCC Limited (NCC) come from?
Earnings per share at NCC Limited grew +27.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate +3.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +21.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of NCC Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The market capitalisation of NCC Limited is ₹77.1B (≈ $821M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NCC Limited is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NCC Limited (NCC)?
Earnings per share at NCC Limited are ₹11.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The dividend yield of NCC Limited is 1.8% (payout 18.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The net margin of NCC Limited is 3.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NCC Limited is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NCC Limited (NCC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NCC Limited is 9.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NCC Limited (NCC)?
The operating margin of NCC Limited is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NCC Limited (NCC)?
Revenue at NCC Limited is growing +12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NCC Limited (NCC)?
Earnings per share at NCC Limited are growing +12.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NCC Limited (NCC) generate?
The free cash flow of NCC Limited is −₹21.3B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NCC Limited (NCC) carry?
The net debt of NCC Limited is ₹21.7B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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