Neeraj Paper Marketing Ltd (NEERAJ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹225M
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated yesterday
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹9.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹9.82 – ₹48.17 · fair‑value band ₹5.96 – ₹9.94 · the ₹19.91 price screens above the ₹7.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Neeraj Paper Marketing Ltd (NEERAJ) currently trades at ₹19.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹7.95, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Neeraj Paper Marketing Ltd generated revenue of ₹1.7B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at ₹66.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹5.96 (bear case) to ₹9.94 (bull case); at ₹19.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -60%, NEERAJ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹36.12) versus Earnings-Based (₹3.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Neeraj Paper Marketing Limited engages in the trading of packaging grades of paper and paperboards, tissue papers, and iron and steel in India.
Full company description
Neeraj Paper Marketing Limited engages in the trading of packaging grades of paper and paperboards, tissue papers, and iron and steel in India. The company's products include Kraft linear and fluting media products, duplex board, writing printing paper, tissue and poster, and waste paper, as well as fine print product, art and poster papers, and other products. It also trades in commodities. The company's products are used for printing bibles, making small packs to keep razor blades, letterheads and image-building stationary, publishing books, computer printouts, copying, typing, plain paper faxes and general and computer stationaries, and making cheques. Neeraj Paper Marketing Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Neeraj Paper Marketing Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.7B in FY2026 versus ₹1.4B in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.1M in FY2026, compounding −13.0%/yr from FY2022.
NEERAJ screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 117 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $8.02 | $23.77 | +196% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 314.00 | kr 217.72 | -31% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.92 | HK$8.74 | +10% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.11 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 74.55 | kr 48.60 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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