Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $57.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($311.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $178.51 – $617.23 · fair‑value band $187.03 – $311.71 · the $388.00 price screens above the $249.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB) currently trades at $388.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $249.37, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Neffs Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $11.4M at a net margin of 24.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at $31.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $187.03 (bear case) to $311.71 (bull case); at $388.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -36%, NEFB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($328.94) versus Dividend Discount ($87.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Neffs Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for The Neffs National Bank that provides a range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, and corporate customers in Lehigh County, Northampton County, and Carbon County, Pennsylvania.
Full company description
Neffs Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for The Neffs National Bank that provides a range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, and corporate customers in Lehigh County, Northampton County, and Carbon County, Pennsylvania. It accepts various deposit products, including checking accounts, savings and club accounts, money market demand accounts, certificates of deposit/individual retirement accounts, and young savers and young adult savers accounts. The company also offers consumer credit products, such as home equity line of credit, residential mortgages, home equity, personal loans/personal line of credit, personal first time credit, and automobile loans; student loan; and commercial credit products, including commercial mortgages, term loans, and line of credit, as well as other services comprising remote deposit and mobile deposit, business checking, credit cards, and merchant services. In addition, it provides online and mobile banking services; and ATM services. Neffs Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is based in Neffs, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Neffs Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $18.9M in FY2025 versus $13.6M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.8M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
NEFB screens 36% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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