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Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $57.7M

NB Neffs Bancorp, Inc logo Neffs Bancorp, Inc NEFB · US
Price$388.00
Fair Value$249.37
Upside-35.7%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 24.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.10% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $187.03 – $311.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($311.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$617.23 $178.51 Fair Value $249.37 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $178.51 – $617.23 · fair‑value band $187.03 – $311.71 · the $388.00 price screens above the $249.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB) currently trades at $388.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $249.37, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Neffs Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $11.4M at a net margin of 24.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at $31.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $187.03 (bear case) to $311.71 (bull case); at $388.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -36%, NEFB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $329.07 $314.87 $248.16 76
Gordon GGM $60.01 $100.52 $130.47 70
P/E Multiple $187.03 $249.37 $311.71 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $60.01 $100.52 $130.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $60.01 $87.60 $108.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $187.03 $249.37 $311.71 63
P/B Multiple $244.57 $326.10 $407.62 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $245.48 $328.94 $490.95 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $329.07 $314.87 $248.16 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($328.94) versus Dividend Discount ($87.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 24.7%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow $1.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.9
More key figures
Operating margin 58.5%
EPS (TTM) $18.88
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.3%
Net debt $31.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Neffs Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for The Neffs National Bank that provides a range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, and corporate customers in Lehigh County, Northampton County, and Carbon County, Pennsylvania.

Full company description

Neffs Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for The Neffs National Bank that provides a range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, and corporate customers in Lehigh County, Northampton County, and Carbon County, Pennsylvania. It accepts various deposit products, including checking accounts, savings and club accounts, money market demand accounts, certificates of deposit/individual retirement accounts, and young savers and young adult savers accounts. The company also offers consumer credit products, such as home equity line of credit, residential mortgages, home equity, personal loans/personal line of credit, personal first time credit, and automobile loans; student loan; and commercial credit products, including commercial mortgages, term loans, and line of credit, as well as other services comprising remote deposit and mobile deposit, business checking, credit cards, and merchant services. In addition, it provides online and mobile banking services; and ATM services. Neffs Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is based in Neffs, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Neffs Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $18.9M in FY2025 versus $13.6M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.8M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.9M
Latest YoY
+85.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Revenue +8.7%/yr
FY21 $13.6M
FY22 $14.7M
FY23 $16.3M
FY24 $10.2M
FY25 $18.9M
Net income −8.7%/yr
FY21 $4.0M
FY22 $4.5M
FY23 $2.9M
FY24 $2.2M
FY25 $2.8M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.6 pp

of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −10.3 pp
Tax rate +2.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

NEFB screens 36% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neffs Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEFB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 44.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 33 · sector 44
PAST 16 · sector 41
HEALTH 97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $249.37 versus a price of $388.00, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEFB?
Our model-based fair value for Neffs Bancorp, Inc is $249.37 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $388.00.
What is the quality score of NEFB?
Neffs Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Neffs Bancorp, Inc (NEFB)?
Neffs Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEFB?
The net profit margin of Neffs Bancorp, Inc is about 24.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Neffs Bancorp, Inc pay a dividend?
Neffs Bancorp, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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