NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of NEO INFRACON LTD. ₹46.38, price ₹42.75, upside +8.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹8.56 – ₹52.77 · fair‑value band ₹22.94 – ₹93.09 · the ₹42.75 price screens below the ₹46.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Neo Infracon Limited engages in the real estate construction and development activities in India. It develops and constructs commercial or industrial building and civil structures, as well as residential complexes. The company was formerly known as Anuvin Industries Limited and changed its name to Neo Infracon Limited in December 2012.
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Neo Infracon Limited engages in the real estate construction and development activities in India. It develops and constructs commercial or industrial building and civil structures, as well as residential complexes. The company was formerly known as Anuvin Industries Limited and changed its name to Neo Infracon Limited in December 2012. Neo Infracon Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) currently trades at ₹42.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹46.38, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹77.40 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹42.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹9.64, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹22.94 (bear) to ₹93.09 (bull), the price of ₹42.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
NEO INFRACON LTD. reported revenue of ₹80.0M in FY2026 versus ₹42.5M in FY2022, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.0M in FY2026, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹227M (≈ $2.4M) · P/E ratio 25.3 · P/S ratio 2.84 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.69 · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 55.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 8%, NEOINFRA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹22.94Fair Value ₹46.38Bull ₹93.09
Price ₹42.75 · Upside +8.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.8658 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+91.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 15%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.7%/yr over ~5Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 571 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+8.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)55.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−58.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.19× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹46.38 versus a price of ₹42.75, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NEOINFRA?
Our model-based fair value for NEO INFRACON LTD. is ₹46.38 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹42.75.
What is the quality score of NEOINFRA?
NEO INFRACON LTD. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹46.38 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹22.94, optimistic scenario ₹93.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NEO INFRACON LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹46.38, about +8% upside versus a price of ₹42.75 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹22.94, optimistic scenario ₹93.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
NEO INFRACON LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹80.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NEO INFRACON LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +23.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NEOINFRA use?
Our models discount NEO INFRACON LTD. at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NEO INFRACON LTD. that is +23.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NEO INFRACON LTD. grew -11.7 % a year. The price currently implies +23.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NEO INFRACON LTD. (+23.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.84 %: that much free cash flow NEO INFRACON LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NEO INFRACON LTD. it is ₹46.38 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹42.75. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NEO INFRACON LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NEOINFRA trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹42.75, fair value ₹46.38, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEOINFRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹42.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹46.38). For NEO INFRACON LTD. the two are ₹3.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NEO INFRACON LTD. worth?
The market values NEO INFRACON LTD. at about ₹227M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹42.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹46.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEOINFRA?
Our models span a range for NEO INFRACON LTD.: cautious scenario ₹22.94, base ₹46.38, optimistic ₹93.09 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹42.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NEOINFRA?
NEO INFRACON LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹46.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Balance-sheet figures for NEO INFRACON LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.5%, debt of 1.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEOINFRA from its 52-week high?
NEO INFRACON LTD. trades at ₹42.75, about 14% below its 52-week high of ₹49.50 and 28% above the low of ₹33.32 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹46.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NEO INFRACON LTD.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NEO INFRACON LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹42.75, calculated fair value ₹46.38 (+8%), Quality Score 54/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEOINFRA calculated?
We run NEO INFRACON LTD. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹46.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. NEO INFRACON LTD. currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹42.75. Our model-based fair value is ₹46.38, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NEO INFRACON LTD. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹22.94 to ₹93.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of NEO INFRACON LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The market capitalisation of NEO INFRACON LTD. is ₹227M (≈ $2.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NEO INFRACON LTD. is 2.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Earnings per share at NEO INFRACON LTD. are ₹1.69 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The net margin of NEO INFRACON LTD. is 11.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NEO INFRACON LTD. is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NEO INFRACON LTD. is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
The operating margin of NEO INFRACON LTD. is 55.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Revenue at NEO INFRACON LTD. is growing −58.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA)?
Earnings per share at NEO INFRACON LTD. are growing −38.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NEO INFRACON LTD. (NEOINFRA) carry?
The net debt of NEO INFRACON LTD. is ₹155M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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