PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, (BSDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 11.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 1,425 IDR to 1,388 IDR (−2.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 131% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,041 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 540.00 IDR – 1,340 IDR · fair‑value band 1,041 IDR – 1,734 IDR · the 600.00 IDR price screens below the 1,388 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, (BSDE) currently trades at 600.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,388 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 131.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, generated revenue of 12.8T IDR at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at 5.7T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,041 IDR (bear case) to 1,734 IDR (bull case); at 600.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 131%, BSDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,069 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (90.57 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Property, Hotel, Toll Road, and Others segments. The company is developing the BSD City, a planned and integrated residential area with amenities/infrastructure, environmental facilities, and parks.
Full company description
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development activities in Indonesia. It operates through Real Estate, Property, Hotel, Toll Road, and Others segments. The company is developing the BSD City, a planned and integrated residential area with amenities/infrastructure, environmental facilities, and parks. It is also involved in the hotel operations; leasing of office space; concession of toll road projects; and investment and transportation activities. In addition, the company develops apartments and shopping centers; and provision of other financial services. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Sinarmas Land Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, reported revenue of 12.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 7.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 139.00 IDR | 181.20 IDR | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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