Nestlé India Limited (NESTLEIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.9T (≈ $30.2B) · ISIN INE239A01024
What is Nestlé India Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 464% above our fair value of ₹251.94.
As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of Nestlé India Limited is ₹251.94 per share against a price of ₹1,420, so the fair value sits 82% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −6.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹436.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹133.34 to ₹436.65). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹777.95 – ₹1,540 · fair‑value band ₹133.34 – ₹436.65 · the ₹1,420 price screens above the ₹251.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Nestlé India Limited (NESTLEIND) currently trades at ₹1,420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹251.94, implying the stock looks roughly 463.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹283.63 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹1,420 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹113.99, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nestlé India Limited generated revenue of ₹219B at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 70.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 83.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹133.34 (bear case) to ₹436.65 (bull case); at ₹1,420, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −82%, NESTLEIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹3.56 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹283.63) versus Asset-Based (₹13.93). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nestlé India Limited manufactures and sells food products in India and internationally. It provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed and UHT milk, yoghurt, maternal and infant formula, baby food, and health care nutrition products; powdered and liquid beverages comprising instant coffee and tea, as well as ready to drink …
Full company description
Nestlé India Limited manufactures and sells food products in India and internationally. It provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed and UHT milk, yoghurt, maternal and infant formula, baby food, and health care nutrition products; powdered and liquid beverages comprising instant coffee and tea, as well as ready to drink beverages; prepared dishes and cooking aids, such as noodles, sauces, seasonings, pasta, cereals, and pet foods; and confectionery products consisting of bar countlines, tablets, and sugar confectionery products. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Nestlé India Limited reported revenue of ₹201B in FY2024 versus ₹133B in FY2020, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹32.1B in FY2024, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2020.
NESTLEIND screens 464% overvalued. Compare with Danone S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $24.85 | $24.59 | −1% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $38.29 | $28.32 | −26% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
| McCormick & Company MKCV | $55.65 | $43.29 | −22% |
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