The Navakij Insurance Public Company (NKI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 750M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 29.00 THB to 30.00 THB (+3.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +26.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 58% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (21.91 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.60 THB – 47.24 THB · fair‑value band 21.91 THB – 38.09 THB · the 19.00 THB price screens below the 30.00 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
The Navakij Insurance Public Company (NKI) currently trades at 19.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 57.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Navakij Insurance Public Company generated revenue of 3.5B THB at a net margin of -6.3%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 275M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 21.91 THB (bear case) to 38.09 THB (bull case); at 19.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 58%, NKI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (59.07 THB) versus Asset-Based (22.22 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Navakij Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance products and services in Thailand. It offers fire, marine and transportation, car, house, business, property, accident and health, and miscellaneous insurance products.
Full company description
The Navakij Insurance Public Company Limited provides non-life insurance products and services in Thailand. It offers fire, marine and transportation, car, house, business, property, accident and health, and miscellaneous insurance products. The company was formerly known as Luang Lee Insurance Company Limited and changed its name to The Navakij Insurance Public Company Limited in 1985. The Navakij Insurance Public Company Limited was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Navakij Insurance Public Company reported revenue of 3.6B THB in FY2025 versus 2.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −584M THB in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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