Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Aug 11, 2026: fair value of Nilörngruppen AB $10.61, price $9.10, upside +16.6%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Nilörngruppen AB for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.46 – $9.10 · fair‑value band $7.96 – $13.26 · the $9.10 price screens below the $10.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Nilörngruppen in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Nilörngruppen is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories.
Show more
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories. The company also provides retail and e-commerce packaging products, such as cardboard boxes, and paper and plastic bags with custom prints. In addition, it offers RFID, care, and barcode labels; and security and copying protection products, as well as retail information services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) currently trades at $9.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.61, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.46 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the $9.10 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.66, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.96 (bear) to $13.26 (bull), the price of $9.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nilörngruppen AB reported revenue of 943M SEK in FY2025 versus 788M SEK in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was 49.8M SEK in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $104M · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) $1.04 · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3% · Revenue (TTM) 960M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 17%, NLLGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.96Fair Value $10.61Bull $13.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7864 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+16.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−15.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nilörngruppen AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NLLGF
Frequently asked questions
Is Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.61 versus the last price from Aug 11, 2026 of $9.10, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NLLGF?
Our model-based fair value for Nilörngruppen AB is $10.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 11, 2026): $9.10.
What is the quality score of NLLGF?
Nilörngruppen AB has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.96, optimistic scenario $13.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nilörngruppen AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.61, about +17% upside versus the last price from Aug 11, 2026 of $9.10 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.96, optimistic scenario $13.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Nilörngruppen AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 960M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nilörngruppen AB would have to grow free cash flow by +3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NLLGF use?
Our models discount Nilörngruppen AB at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nilörngruppen AB that is +3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nilörngruppen AB grew +8.8 % a year. The price currently implies +3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nilörngruppen AB (+3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.24 %: that much free cash flow Nilörngruppen AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nilörngruppen AB it is $10.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nilörngruppen AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NLLGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $9.10, fair value $10.61, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NLLGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.61). For Nilörngruppen AB the two are $1.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nilörngruppen AB worth?
The market values Nilörngruppen AB at about $104M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.10; our models calculate a fair value of $10.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NLLGF?
Our models span a range for Nilörngruppen AB: cautious scenario $7.96, base $10.61, optimistic $13.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NLLGF?
Nilörngruppen AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nilörngruppen AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NLLGF from its 52-week high?
Nilörngruppen AB trades at $9.10, at its 52-week high of $9.10 and 58% above the low of $5.76 (as of Aug 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nilörngruppen AB?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nilörngruppen AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.10, calculated fair value $10.61 (+17%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NLLGF calculated?
We run Nilörngruppen AB through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nilörngruppen AB currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 11, 2026 and stands at $9.10. Our model-based fair value is $10.61, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nilörngruppen AB right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Nilörngruppen AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The market capitalisation of Nilörngruppen AB is $104M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nilörngruppen AB is 0.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Earnings per share at Nilörngruppen AB are $1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The net margin of Nilörngruppen AB is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nilörngruppen AB is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nilörngruppen AB is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Revenue at Nilörngruppen AB is growing −15.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF)?
Earnings per share at Nilörngruppen AB are growing −22.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) hold?
Nilörngruppen AB holds more cash than debt, 37.1M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Nilörngruppen AB in the live analysis
One click puts Nilörngruppen AB on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 24, 2026