Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $65.7M
Nilörngruppen AB
NLLGF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $10.79 to $10.75 (−0.4%) since Jun 25, 2026.
A solid business, screening 87% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.46 – $9.04 · fair‑value band $8.06 – $13.43 · the $5.76 price screens below the $10.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Nilörngruppen AB (NLLGF) currently trades at $5.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.75, implying the stock looks roughly 86.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nilörngruppen AB generated revenue of $960M at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $37.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.06 (bear case) to $13.43 (bull case); at $5.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 87%, NLLGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($103.31) versus Dividend Discount ($16.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories.
Full company description
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories. The company also provides retail and e-commerce packaging products, such as cardboard boxes, and paper and plastic bags with custom prints. In addition, it offers RFID, care, and barcode labels; and security and copying protection products, as well as retail information services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nilörngruppen AB reported revenue of $943M in FY2025 versus $788M in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $49.8M in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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