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PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk (NOBU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 3.1T IDR

PB PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk NOBU · JK
Price510.00 IDR
Fair Value836.00 IDR
Upside+63.9%
Quality33/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 32.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range 627.00 IDR – 1,045 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 836.69 IDR to 836.00 IDR (−0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +22.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 64% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (627.00 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,701 IDR 406.00 IDR Fair Value 836.00 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 406.00 IDR – 1,701 IDR · fair‑value band 627.00 IDR – 1,045 IDR · the 510.00 IDR price screens below the 836.00 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk (NOBU) currently trades at 510.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 836.00 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk generated revenue of 1.6T IDR at a net margin of 32.7%. Revenue grew 31.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 4.7T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 627.00 IDR (bear case) to 1,045 IDR (bull case); at 510.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 64%, NOBU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple 627.52 IDR 836.69 IDR 1,046 IDR 63
Residual Income 518.37 IDR 619.42 IDR 1,390 IDR 61
P/B Multiple 585.24 IDR 780.32 IDR 975.40 IDR 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple 627.52 IDR 836.69 IDR 1,046 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 585.24 IDR 780.32 IDR 975.40 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 278.69 IDR 373.44 IDR 557.37 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 518.37 IDR 619.42 IDR 1,390 IDR 61

Widest divergence: Multiples (780.32 IDR) versus Asset-Based (373.44 IDR). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.1%
Net margin 32.7%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow −378B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 6.2
More key figures
Operating margin 44.0%
EPS (TTM) 70.22 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +39.8%
Net debt 4.7T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk provides banking products and services in Indonesia. It operates through Corporate and Treasury segments. The company offers savings account, current account, and time deposit products; and consumer loans, including home mortgage loans and other personal loans. It also provides ATMs, and internet and mobile banking services.

Full company description

PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk provides banking products and services in Indonesia. It operates through Corporate and Treasury segments. The company offers savings account, current account, and time deposit products; and consumer loans, including home mortgage loans and other personal loans. It also provides ATMs, and internet and mobile banking services. PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk was formerly known as PT Bank Alfindo. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Tangerang, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk reported revenue of 3.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.0T IDR in FY2021, a compound +30.7%/yr. Reported net income was 481B IDR in FY2025, compounding +65.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.0T IDR
Latest YoY
+23.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.5%
Revenue +30.7%/yr
FY21 1.0T IDR
FY22 1.2T IDR
FY23 1.7T IDR
FY24 2.4T IDR
FY25 3.0T IDR
Net income +65.5%/yr
FY21 64.2B IDR
FY22 104B IDR
FY23 142B IDR
FY24 329B IDR
FY25 481B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +27.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.6 pp

of which total revenue +18.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.3 pp

EBIT margin +13.5 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOBU

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +64% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Above median
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 52 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk (NOBU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 836.00 IDR versus a price of 510.00 IDR, about +64% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NOBU?
Our model-based fair value for PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk is 836.00 IDR (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 510.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NOBU?
PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk (NOBU)?
PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOBU?
The net profit margin of PT Bank Nationalnobu Tbk is about 32.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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