Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge NOK 326, price NOK 173, upside +88.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 56.22 – kr 173.92 · fair‑value band kr 213.40 – kr 453.60 · the kr 172.88 price screens below the kr 325.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SpareBank 1 Nord-Norge provides banking services in Northern Norway. The company offers savings and pension accounts; deposits; bank guarantees; letters of credit; and foreign currency accounts, as well as debit and credit card services. It also provides mortgage, car, consumer, boat, caravans, vehicle, and green loans; and other loan related services.
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SpareBank 1 Nord-Norge provides banking services in Northern Norway. The company offers savings and pension accounts; deposits; bank guarantees; letters of credit; and foreign currency accounts, as well as debit and credit card services. It also provides mortgage, car, consumer, boat, caravans, vehicle, and green loans; and other loan related services. In addition, the company offers vehicle, home, travel, valuable item, car, personal, and pet insurance services. Further, it provides accounting services, real estate brokerage, leasing/sale-leaseback financing, refinancing, payment, and mobile and online banking services. The company was founded in 1836 and is headquartered in Tromsø, Norway.
Stock analysis
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) currently trades at kr 172.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 325.79, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 286.16 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the kr 172.88 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 136.95, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 213.40 (bear) to kr 453.60 (bull), the price of kr 172.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge reported revenue of 5.9B NOK in FY2025 versus 3.8B NOK in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4B NOK in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.4B NOK (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 6.73 · EPS (TTM) kr 14.86 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 57.9% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 88%, NONG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 213.40Fair Value kr 325.79Bull kr 453.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 4.65 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 12%, steady
Profit margin 2014 to 2019 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.115% → 75%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Norway: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.8% a year for the price and +2.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+101% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)53% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)64% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.16× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 325.79 versus a price of kr 172.88, about +88% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NONG?
Our model-based fair value for Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is kr 325.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 172.88.
What is the quality score of NONG?
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 325.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 213.40, optimistic scenario kr 453.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 325.79, about +88% upside versus a price of kr 172.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 213.40, optimistic scenario kr 453.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.3B NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge pay a dividend?
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge would have to grow free cash flow by +10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NONG use?
Our models discount Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge that is +10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge grew +11.0 % a year. The price currently implies +10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (+10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.81 %: that much free cash flow Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge it is kr 325.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 172.88. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NONG trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 172.88, fair value kr 325.79, a gap of about +88% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NONG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 172.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 325.79). For Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge the two are kr 152.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge worth?
The market values Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge at about 17.4B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 172.88; our models calculate a fair value of kr 325.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NONG?
Our models span a range for Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge: cautious scenario kr 213.40, base kr 325.79, optimistic kr 453.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 172.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NONG?
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 325.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 1.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NONG from its 52-week high?
Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge trades at kr 172.88, about 1% below its 52-week high of kr 173.92 and 33% above the low of kr 129.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 325.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 172.88, calculated fair value kr 325.79 (+88%), Quality Score 59/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NONG calculated?
We run Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 325.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge currently trades 88 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 172.88. Our model-based fair value is kr 325.79, about +88% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 213.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 213.40 to kr 453.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) come from?
Earnings per share at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge grew +3.2 % a year from 2008 to 2019. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.6 %, EBIT margin −8.6 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +14.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge
How large is the market capitalisation of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The market capitalisation of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 17.4B NOK (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 6.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Earnings per share at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge are kr 14.86 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The dividend yield of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 4.9% (payout 57.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The net margin of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 57.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
The operating margin of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 64.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Revenue at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG)?
Earnings per share at Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge are growing −11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge (NONG) carry?
The net debt of Sparebank 1 Nord-Norge is 22.8B NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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