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Novus Group (NOVU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Novus Group SEK 1.40, price SEK 3.00, upside -53.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · SE

NG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Novus Group

NOVU · ST

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 1.40 · Strongly overvalued (−53.3%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −5.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/9)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 6.67 kr 2.32 Fair Value kr 1.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 2.32 – kr 6.67 · fair‑value band kr 1.15 – kr 1.65 · the kr 3.00 price screens above the kr 1.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Novus Group International AB operates as an analysis and research company in Sweden. It provides various services, such as brand, PR, and communication; business development; customer and members relation; society and opinion; and politics and public opinion. Novus Group International AB was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

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Novus Group International AB operates as an analysis and research company in Sweden. It provides various services, such as brand, PR, and communication; business development; customer and members relation; society and opinion; and politics and public opinion. Novus Group International AB was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Novus Group International AB operates as a subsidiary of Gallup Nordic Aktiebolag.

Stock analysis

Novus Group (NOVU) currently trades at kr 3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 114.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 1.15 (bear) to kr 1.65 (bull), the price of kr 3.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Novus Group reported revenue of 61.1M SEK in FY2025 versus 72.9M SEK in FY2022, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.3M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 31.1M SEK (≈ $3.1M) · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.0100 · Net margin −2.1% · Return on equity 36.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.3% · Operating margin 12.6% · Revenue (TTM) 59.8M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −53%, NOVU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 1.15 Fair Value kr 1.40 Bull kr 1.65
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA kr 1.15 kr 1.40 kr 1.65 64
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4400 kr 0.5900 kr 0.8800 51
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 1.15 kr 1.40 kr 1.65 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4400 kr 0.5900 kr 0.8800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2022) → −2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NOVU screens 114% overvalued. Compare with SGS SA →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 36.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SGS SA SGSN CHF 94.50 CHF 70.27 −26%
Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK $169.21 $146.55 −13%
Equifax Inc EFX $148.11 $109.78 −26%
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €26.89 €27.77 +3%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $72.95 $158.40 +117%
ALS Limited ALQ A$20.63 A$11.20 −46%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 68.90 CHF 65.52 −5%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $134.29 $179.80 +34%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.38 ¥15.82 +10%
GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 ¥18.11 ¥19.92 +10%

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Novus Group · Fair Value
kr 1.40 −114%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Novus Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOVU

Frequently asked questions

Is Novus Group (NOVU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.40 versus a price of kr 3.00, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NOVU?
Our model-based fair value for Novus Group is kr 1.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.00.
What is the quality score of NOVU?
Novus Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Novus Group (NOVU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 1.15, optimistic scenario kr 1.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Novus Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.40, about −53% upside versus a price of kr 3.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 1.15, optimistic scenario kr 1.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Novus Group (NOVU)?
Novus Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 59.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Novus Group (NOVU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Novus Group it is kr 1.40 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of kr 3.00. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Novus Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NOVU trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 3.00, fair value kr 1.40, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NOVU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 3.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.40). For Novus Group the two are kr 1.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Novus Group worth?
The market values Novus Group at about 31.1M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is kr 3.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NOVU?
Our models span a range for Novus Group: cautious scenario kr 1.15, base kr 1.40, optimistic kr 1.65 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price kr 3.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Novus Group (NOVU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Novus Group (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 36.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NOVU from its 52-week high?
Novus Group trades at kr 3.00, about 37% below its 52-week high of kr 4.76 and 13% above the low of kr 2.66 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Novus Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SGS SA, Verisk Analytics, Inc, Equifax Inc, Bureau Veritas SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Novus Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price kr 3.00, calculated fair value kr 1.40 (−53%), Quality Score 59/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NOVU calculated?
We run Novus Group through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Novus Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was kr 3.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.40, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Novus Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Novus Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The market capitalisation of Novus Group is 31.1M SEK (≈ $3.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Novus Group is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Novus Group (NOVU)?
Earnings per share at Novus Group are kr −0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The net margin of Novus Group is −2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Novus Group is 36.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Novus Group (NOVU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Novus Group is −2.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Novus Group (NOVU)?
The operating margin of Novus Group is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Novus Group (NOVU)?
Revenue at Novus Group is growing −4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Novus Group (NOVU)?
Earnings per share at Novus Group are growing +359% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Novus Group (NOVU) generate?
The free cash flow of Novus Group is −601K SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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