Novus Group (NOVU) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 31.3M SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 2.32 – kr 6.67 · fair‑value band kr 1.15 – kr 1.65 · the kr 2.86 price screens above the kr 1.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Novus Group (NOVU) currently trades at kr 2.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Novus Group generated revenue of 59.8M SEK at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.0%. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.15 (bear case) to kr 1.65 (bull case); at kr 2.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -51%, NOVU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 1.40) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.5900). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novus Group International AB operates as an analysis and research company in Sweden. It provides various services, such as brand, PR, and communication; business development; customer and members relation; society and opinion; and politics and public opinion. Novus Group International AB was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Full company description
Novus Group International AB operates as an analysis and research company in Sweden. It provides various services, such as brand, PR, and communication; business development; customer and members relation; society and opinion; and politics and public opinion. Novus Group International AB was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Novus Group International AB operates as a subsidiary of Gallup Nordic Aktiebolag.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Novus Group reported revenue of kr 61.1M in FY2025 versus kr 72.9M in FY2022, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 1.3M in FY2025.
NOVU screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →
Peer Group
Consulting Services · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK | $180.97 | $145.58 | -20% |
| SGS SA SGSN | CHF 94.20 | CHF 68.96 | -27% |
| Equifax Inc EFX | $180.46 | $100.04 | -45% |
| Bureau Veritas SA BVI | €27.74 | €27.81 | +0% |
| ALS Limited ALQ | A$23.42 | A$11.02 | -53% |
| Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH | $78.40 | $146.45 | +87% |
| DKSH Holding DKSH | CHF 68.40 | CHF 64.81 | -5% |
| FTI Consulting, Inc FCN | $152.68 | $168.44 | +10% |
| Centre Testing International Group 300012 | ¥14.10 | ¥11.90 | -16% |
| GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 | ¥17.66 | ¥11.69 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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