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Nippon Electric Glass Co (NPEGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.9B

NE Nippon Electric Glass Co logo Nippon Electric Glass Co NPEGF · US
Price$31.10
Fair Value$40.83
Upside+31.3%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.58% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $29.80 – $55.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −21.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($29.80 to $55.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$53.30 $12.20 Fair Value $40.83 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.20 – $53.30 · fair‑value band $29.80 – $55.39 · the $31.10 price screens below the $40.83 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Electric Glass Co (NPEGF) currently trades at $31.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.83, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Electric Glass Co generated revenue of $312B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.80 (bear case) to $55.39 (bull case); at $31.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 31%, NPEGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $25.67 $32.32 $43.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.45 $40.51 $55.36 74
ROIC Compounder $23.19 $26.03 $28.48 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.88 $31.75 $44.52 38
Owner Earnings $26.41 $33.82 $47.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.45 $40.04 $57.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $39.58 $59.15 $85.39 41
5Y P/E Exit $33.95 $49.47 $68.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit $26.15 $34.99 $44.77 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $33.49 $46.82 $61.58 37
10Y P/E Exit $30.13 $40.83 $51.37 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.32 $25.19 $29.28 54
EPV $23.19 $26.03 $28.48 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $40.42 $53.90 $67.37 63
P/S Multiple $34.36 $45.81 $57.26 58
P/B Multiple $34.36 $45.81 $57.26 55
EV/EBIT $46.49 $60.25 $74.02 53
EV/EBITDA $56.49 $73.59 $90.69 54
EV/Revenue $33.03 $44.96 $56.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.40 $30.02 $44.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.67 $32.32 $43.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.45 $40.51 $55.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.79 $35.67 $35.51 61
ROIC Compounder $23.19 $26.03 $28.48 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $28.60 $40.85 $53.11 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($45.81) versus Earnings-Based ($25.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $312B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow $23.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) $2.38
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +78.4%
Net cash $23.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty glass products and glass glassmaking machinery in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty glass products and glass glassmaking machinery in Japan and internationally. The company offers glass products for LCD/OLED displays and optoelectronics, chemical, and lighting; and ultra-thin glass, glass wafers for supporting semiconductors, glass substrates for probe cards, LTCC products, functional glass powders, cover glass for image sensors, and glass tubes for small electronic components. It also provides chopped strands for functional plastics reinforcement, wet chopped strands for building materials, roving for plastics reinforcement, chopped-strand mats for automobiles, and alkali-resistant glass fibers for cement reinforcement. In addition, the company offers glass tubing for pharmaceutical and medical use, radiation shielding glass, super heat-resistant glass-ceramics, fire-rated glass, glass blocks, and glass-ceramic building materials. Its products are used in televisions, displays, smartphones, automotive displays, electronic components, optical communication, buildings, civil engineering, fire-resistant glass, medical containers, and cooktop surfaces applications, as well as observation and operation windows in CT/angiography rooms. Further, the company provides solutions to healthcare, aerospace, semiconductor, infrastructure, glass engineering, automotive, information and communication, and housing equipment and building materials. Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Otsu, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Electric Glass Co reported revenue of $312B in FY2025 versus $292B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was $29.6B in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$312B
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+0.0%
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY21 $292B
FY22 $325B
FY23 $280B
FY24 $299B
FY25 $312B
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY21 $27.9B
FY22 $28.2B
FY23 −$26.2B
FY24 $12.1B
FY25 $29.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Electric Glass Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPEGF

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 75 · sector 0
FUTURE 2 · sector 32
PAST 28 · sector 24
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Electric Glass Co (NPEGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.83 versus a price of $31.10, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPEGF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Electric Glass Co is $40.83 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $31.10.
What is the quality score of NPEGF?
Nippon Electric Glass Co has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nippon Electric Glass Co (NPEGF)?
Nippon Electric Glass Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $312B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPEGF?
The net profit margin of Nippon Electric Glass Co is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Electric Glass Co pay a dividend?
Nippon Electric Glass Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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