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The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. $23.48, price $12.09, upside +94.1%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · US

TN The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd.

NSOMF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $23.48 · Strongly undervalued (+94%)
!Quality 36/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·3.30% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$874,193 $0.2430 Fair Value $23.48 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2430 – $874,193 · fair‑value band $17.60 – $29.34 · the $12.09 price screens below the $23.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. engages in foods and ingredients business in Japan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Oil and Fat; Processed Food and Materials; Fine Chemical; and Other segments.

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The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. engages in foods and ingredients business in Japan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Oil and Fat; Processed Food and Materials; Fine Chemical; and Other segments. The company offers edible oil for use in household, commercial, and food processing applications; and foods for the elderly and nursing care patients. It also provides processed palm oil products, confectionery fats, margarines, shortenings; and chocolate-related products, household-use salad dressing, wellness foods, MCT, lecithin, tocopherol, edible soybeans, and soy protein. In addition, the company offers ingredients for cosmetics and toiletries, chemical products, plant-based industrial oils, detergents, antibacterial agents, and surfactants. Further, it is involved in the provision of information systems and sales promotions; sports facility operations; P and C insurance agency; and real estate leasing. The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Stock analysis

The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF) currently trades at $12.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.48, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $85.69 per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the $12.09 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $8.76, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $17.60 (bear) to $29.34 (bull), the price of $12.09 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. reported revenue of ¥554B in FY2026 versus ¥433B in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥24.0B in FY2026, compounding +29.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) $1.60 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 94%, NSOMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $17.60 Fair Value $23.48 Bull $29.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $7.23 $10.11 $12.51 72
EPV $7.23 $10.11 $12.51 71
Owner Earnings $2.05 $8.76 $17.54 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.05 $8.76 $17.54 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.99 $93.55 $123.63 65
Lynch FV $19.49 $27.85 $36.20 61
PEG = 1.0 $19.49 $27.85 $36.20 57
EPV $7.23 $10.11 $12.51 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $74.09 $98.78 $123.48 63
P/S Multiple $59.98 $79.97 $99.96 58
P/B Multiple $59.98 $79.97 $99.96 55
EV/EBIT $28.70 $42.90 $57.09 65
EV/EBITDA $40.89 $59.15 $77.40 67
EV/Revenue $16.52 $29.54 $42.56 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.61 $27.62 $41.22 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $35.34 $39.33 $57.18 70
ROIC Compounder $7.23 $10.11 $12.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $59.98 $85.69 $111.40 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.43× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)47 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)66 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.90 €50.81 −17%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.00 $29.20 +22%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.45 $34.66 −2%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.42 $51.01 +3%

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The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. · Fair Value
$23.48 +48%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSOMF

Frequently asked questions

Is The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.48 versus a price of $12.09, about +94% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NSOMF?
Our model-based fair value for The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is $23.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.09.
What is the quality score of NSOMF?
The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $23.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.60, optimistic scenario $29.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $23.48, about +94% upside versus a price of $12.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $17.60, optimistic scenario $29.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥554B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. pay a dividend?
The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. it is $23.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $12.09. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NSOMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.09, fair value $23.48, a gap of about +94% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NSOMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($23.48). For The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. the two are $11.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. worth?
The market values The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $12.09; our models calculate a fair value of $23.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NSOMF?
Our models span a range for The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd.: cautious scenario $17.60, base $23.48, optimistic $29.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $12.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NSOMF?
The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $23.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 11.7%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NSOMF from its 52-week high?
The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. trades at $12.09, at its 52-week high of $12.09 and 14% above the low of $10.57 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $23.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $12.09, calculated fair value $23.48 (+94%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NSOMF calculated?
We run The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $23.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. currently trades 94 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $12.09. Our model-based fair value is $23.48, about +94% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($17.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd.

How large is the market capitalisation of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The market capitalisation of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 0.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Earnings per share at The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. are $1.60 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The dividend yield of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 3.3% (payout 24.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The net margin of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 4.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
The operating margin of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Revenue at The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF)?
Earnings per share at The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. are growing +120% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF) generate?
The free cash flow of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is −¥18.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. (NSOMF) carry?
The net debt of The Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd. is ¥98.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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