The Nisshin OilliO Group (NSOMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.1B
The Nisshin OilliO Group
NSOMF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 91% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($17.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2430 – $874,193 · fair‑value band $17.34 – $28.89 · the $12.09 price screens below the $23.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
The Nisshin OilliO Group (NSOMF) currently trades at $12.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.12, implying the stock looks roughly 91.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Nisshin OilliO Group generated revenue of $554B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. Net debt stands at $98.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.34 (bear case) to $28.89 (bull case); at $12.09, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 91%, NSOMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($83.70) versus DCF Models ($2.39). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. engages in foods and ingredients business in Japan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Oil and Fat; Processed Food and Materials; Fine Chemical; and Other segments.
Full company description
The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. engages in foods and ingredients business in Japan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Oil and Fat; Processed Food and Materials; Fine Chemical; and Other segments. The company offers edible oil for use in household, commercial, and food processing applications; and foods for the elderly and nursing care patients. It also provides processed palm oil products, confectionery fats, margarines, shortenings; and chocolate-related products, household-use salad dressing, wellness foods, MCT, lecithin, tocopherol, edible soybeans, and soy protein. In addition, the company offers ingredients for cosmetics and toiletries, chemical products, plant-based industrial oils, detergents, antibacterial agents, and surfactants. Further, it is involved in the provision of information systems and sales promotions; sports facility operations; P and C insurance agency; and real estate leasing. The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
The Nisshin OilliO Group reported revenue of $554B in FY2026 versus $433B in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $24.0B in FY2026, compounding +29.3%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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