Netcare Limited (NTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · ZA · Market cap 21.5B ZAC
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R24.80 to R20.67 (−16.7%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (R10.79 to R30.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from R10.79 (bear) to R30.55 (bull), base R20.67. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R11.04 – R19.22 · fair‑value band R10.79 – R30.55 · the R18.47 price screens below the R20.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Netcare Limited (NTC) currently trades at R18.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R20.67, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Netcare Limited generated revenue of 26.9B ZAR at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 11.1B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R10.79 (bear case) to R30.55 (bull case); at R18.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 12%, NTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (R33.20) versus Asset-Based (R6.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Netcare Limited, an investment holding company, operates private hospitals in South Africa. It operates through Hospital and Emergency Services, and Primary Care segments. The Hospital and Emergency Services segment engages in the hospital and pharmacy operations.
Full company description
Netcare Limited, an investment holding company, operates private hospitals in South Africa. It operates through Hospital and Emergency Services, and Primary Care segments. The Hospital and Emergency Services segment engages in the hospital and pharmacy operations. Its operations covers its private acute hospital network and day clinics; and non-acute services, including emergency medical services, mental health clinics operation, diagnostics support services, and cancer care services, as well as sells healthcare products. The Primary Care segment offers healthcare services, and employee health and wellness services, as well as administrative services to medical and dental practices. It also engages in the financing, property owning, and pharmaceutical services. It operates through a network of acute hospitals, netcare 911 sites, cancer care centres, haematology centres, renal dialysis facilities, dialysis stations, point of care devices, mental health hospitals, primary health care facilities, and occupational health service contracts, as well as insurance products, and prepaid procedures and healthcare vouchers. Netcare Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Netcare Limited reported revenue of R26.3B in FY2025 versus R21.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was R1.7B in FY2025, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −3.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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