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NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NextCell Pharma AB stock SEK 0.30, price SEK 0.28, upside +5.7%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Healthcare SE · ISIN SE0009723125

NP NextCell Pharma AB logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

NextCell Pharma AB

NXTCL · ST
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Revenue last quarter +102% vs. a year ago.
Fair value kr 0.2975 · Fairly valued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.1 %/yr in SEK)
Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
Quality 33/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 12.04 kr 0.2300 Fair Value kr 0.2975 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.2300 – kr 12.04 · fair‑value band kr 0.1955 – kr 0.3740 · the kr 0.2815 price screens below the kr 0.2975 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

NextCell Pharma AB, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of novel stromal cell therapies in Sweden.

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Its lead drug candidate is ProTrans, a cell therapy with mesenchymal stromal cells for the treatment of autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, including type-1 diabetes. The company also operates Cellaviva, a stem cell bank.

The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Huddinge, Sweden.

Stock analysis

NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL) currently trades at kr 0.2815, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.2975, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.4%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.1955 (bear) to kr 0.3740 (bull), the price of kr 0.2815 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

NextCell Pharma AB reported revenue of 10.9M SEK in FY2025 versus 3.9M SEK in FY2021, a compound +29.3%/yr. Reported net income was −35.1M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 39.3M SEK (≈ $4.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 3.65 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.4200 · Return on equity −52.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −386% · Revenue (TTM) 10.8M SEK · Revenue growth (YoY) +102%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 6%, NXTCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.1955 Fair Value kr 0.2975 Bull kr 0.3740
Price kr 0.2815 · Upside +5.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2300 kr 0.3500 kr 0.4400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2300 kr 0.3500 kr 0.4400 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 43
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +108.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+108.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−496.6% (2020) → −328.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 558 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −45.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 102.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.59× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.65× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)41 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Incyte Corporation INCY $119.65 $199.23 +67% vs NXTCL
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $904.35 $1,275 +41% vs NXTCL
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.09 $601.80 +10% vs NXTCL
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,516,000 KRW 1,667,600 KRW +10% vs NXTCL
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 3,527 kr 3,880 +10% vs NXTCL
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$47.62 HK$52.38 +10% vs NXTCL
argenx SE ARGX $927.21 $908.40 −2% vs NXTCL
CSL Limited CSL A$200.77 A$183.04 −9% vs NXTCL
Celltrion, Inc 068270 211,000 KRW 74,945 KRW −64% vs NXTCL
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $67.30 $19.01 −72% vs NXTCL

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NextCell Pharma AB: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NextCell Pharma AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXTCL

Frequently asked questions

Is NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.2975 versus a price of kr 0.2815, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NXTCL?
Our model-based fair value for NextCell Pharma AB is kr 0.2975 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.2815.
What is the quality score of NXTCL?
NextCell Pharma AB has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.2975 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.1955, optimistic scenario kr 0.3740. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NextCell Pharma AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.2975, about +6% upside versus a price of kr 0.2815 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 0.1955, optimistic scenario kr 0.3740. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
NextCell Pharma AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NextCell Pharma AB it is kr 0.2975 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of kr 0.2815. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is NextCell Pharma AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, NXTCL trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 0.2815, fair value kr 0.2975, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXTCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.2815); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.2975). For NextCell Pharma AB the two are kr 0.0160 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NextCell Pharma AB worth?
The market values NextCell Pharma AB at about 39.3M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.2815; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.2975 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXTCL?
Our models span a range for NextCell Pharma AB: cautious scenario kr 0.1955, base kr 0.2975, optimistic kr 0.3740 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price kr 0.2815). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for NextCell Pharma AB (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −52.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXTCL from its 52-week high?
NextCell Pharma AB trades at kr 0.2815, about 83% below its 52-week high of kr 1.69 and 22% above the low of kr 0.2300 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.2975 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NextCell Pharma AB?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, argenx SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NextCell Pharma AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price kr 0.2815, calculated fair value kr 0.2975 (+6%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXTCL calculated?
We run NextCell Pharma AB through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 0.2975 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NextCell Pharma AB currently trades 5% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 0.2815. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.2975, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NextCell Pharma AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.1955 to kr 0.3740) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of NextCell Pharma AB

How large is the market capitalisation of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
The market capitalisation of NextCell Pharma AB is 39.3M SEK (≈ $4.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NextCell Pharma AB is 3.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
Earnings per share at NextCell Pharma AB are kr −0.4200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NextCell Pharma AB is −52.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NextCell Pharma AB is −38.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
The operating margin of NextCell Pharma AB is −386% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL)?
Revenue at NextCell Pharma AB is growing +102% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL) generate?
The free cash flow of NextCell Pharma AB is −43.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does NextCell Pharma AB (NXTCL) hold?
NextCell Pharma AB holds more cash than debt, 38.7M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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