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Oak View Bankshares, Inc (OAKV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $52.3M

OV Oak View Bankshares, Inc logo Oak View Bankshares, Inc OAKV · US
Price$16.31
Fair Value$22.90
Upside+40.4%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 31.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $17.17 – $28.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 40% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($17.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.48 $4.18 Fair Value $22.90 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.18 – $16.48 · fair‑value band $17.17 – $28.62 · the $16.31 price screens below the $22.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Oak View Bankshares, Inc (OAKV) currently trades at $16.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.90, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Oak View Bankshares, Inc generated revenue of $24.3M at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. Net debt stands at $99.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.17 (bear case) to $28.62 (bull case); at $16.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 40%, OAKV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.90 $15.49 $23.14 76
Gordon GGM $1.58 $2.65 $3.44 70
P/E Multiple $20.20 $26.94 $33.67 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.58 $2.65 $3.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.58 $2.51 $2.85 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.20 $26.94 $33.67 63
P/B Multiple $17.42 $23.22 $29.03 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.29 $11.11 $16.59 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.90 $15.49 $23.14 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($23.22) versus Dividend Discount ($2.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $24.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.4%
Net margin 31.7%
Return on equity 15.2%
Free cash flow $2.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 34.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.19
EPS growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net debt $99.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oak View Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Oak View National Bank that provides banking services for individual and corporate customers in the counties of Marshall, Warrenton, Culpeper, and Rappahannock, and Virginia.

Full company description

Oak View Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Oak View National Bank that provides banking services for individual and corporate customers in the counties of Marshall, Warrenton, Culpeper, and Rappahannock, and Virginia. It offers checking, savings, money market, and retirement accounts; certificates of deposit; and certificate of deposit account registry services. The company also provides commercial lending services, including commercial lines of credit, commercial term loans, commercial real estate loans, and long-term loan programs; consumer loans; home equity loans; home equity lines of credit; home mortgages and refinances; church loans; and municipal leasing programs. In addition, it offers treasury management services, such as ACH, remote deposit capture, and merchant services; credit cards; and online and mobile banking services. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Warrenton, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oak View Bankshares, Inc reported revenue of $44.2M in FY2025 versus $12.9M in FY2021, a compound +36.1%/yr. Reported net income was $7.2M in FY2025, compounding +30.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$44.2M
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.9%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.4%
Revenue +36.1%/yr
FY21 $12.9M
FY22 $16.1M
FY23 $16.7M
FY24 $38.3M
FY25 $44.2M
Net income +30.8%/yr
FY21 $2.5M
FY22 $3.1M
FY23 $4.2M
FY24 $6.1M
FY25 $7.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oak View Bankshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OAKV

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +40% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Below median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 87 · sector 39
FUTURE 97 · sector 44
PAST 61 · sector 41
HEALTH 74 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oak View Bankshares, Inc (OAKV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.90 versus a price of $16.31, about +40% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OAKV?
Our model-based fair value for Oak View Bankshares, Inc is $22.90 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.31.
What is the quality score of OAKV?
Oak View Bankshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oak View Bankshares, Inc (OAKV)?
Oak View Bankshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OAKV?
The net profit margin of Oak View Bankshares, Inc is about 31.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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