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Universal Display Corporation (OLED) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $3.7B

UD Universal Display Corporation logo Universal Display Corporation OLED · US
Price$91.19
Fair Value$88.03
Upside-3.5%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 34.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.32% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $55.32 – $110.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $98.59 to $88.03 (−10.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($55.32 to $110.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$229.85 $77.94 Fair Value $88.03 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $77.94 – $229.85 · fair‑value band $55.32 – $110.03 · the $91.19 price screens above the $88.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) currently trades at $91.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $88.03, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Universal Display Corporation generated revenue of $627M at a net margin of 34.1%. Revenue declined 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $95.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $55.32 (bear case) to $110.03 (bull case); at $91.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -3%, OLED screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $52.28 $91.62 $168.61 80
Residual Income $35.94 $44.38 $100.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF $36.47 $67.66 $116.08 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $55.47 $83.81 $172.17 38
Owner Earnings $76.71 $166.40 $347.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit $36.47 $59.58 $106.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $62.26 $113.20 $210.25 41
5Y P/E Exit $73.50 $161.52 $279.56 38
10Y Revenue Exit $41.02 $77.58 $106.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $60.17 $129.10 $259.05 37
10Y P/E Exit $68.08 $151.55 $301.03 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $35.21 $245.55 $344.59 54
Lynch FV $83.40 $119.15 $154.89 50
PEG = 1.0 $83.40 $119.15 $154.89 46
EPV $41.47 $47.55 $52.80 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.07 $32.02 $48.49 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.07 $27.68 $33.80 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $77.67 $103.56 $129.45 63
P/S Multiple $26.09 $34.79 $43.49 58
P/B Multiple $66.02 $88.03 $110.03 55
EV/EBIT $75.38 $99.51 $123.65 53
EV/EBITDA $64.98 $85.65 $106.32 54
EV/Revenue $27.31 $37.75 $48.19 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.83 $25.24 $37.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $52.28 $91.62 $168.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.47 $67.66 $116.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $35.94 $44.38 $100.51 76
ROIC Compounder $45.15 $61.64 $75.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $107.39 $153.42 $199.45 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($153.42) versus Asset-Based ($25.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $627M
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.5%
Net margin 34.1%
Return on equity 12.7%
Free cash flow $154M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.1
More key figures
Operating margin 30.1%
EPS (TTM) $4.49
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -43.7%
Net cash $95.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Universal Display Corporation engages in the research, development, and commercialization of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials for use in display and solid-state lighting applications.

Full company description

Universal Display Corporation engages in the research, development, and commercialization of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials for use in display and solid-state lighting applications. It offers phosphorescent organic light-emitting diode (PHOLED) technologies and materials for displays and lighting products under the UniversalPHOLED brand. The company also offers FOLED that are flexible OLEDs for the fabrication of OLEDs on flexible substrates; and OVJP, an organic vapor jet printing technology. In addition, it provides technology development and support services, including third-party collaboration and support to third parties for the commercialization of their OLED products; and contract research services in the areas of chemical synthesis research, development, and commercialization for non-OLED applications, as well as engages in the intellectual property and technology licensing activities. The company has operations in South Korea, China, Japan, the United States, and internationally. Universal Display Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Universal Display Corporation reported revenue of $651M in FY2025 versus $554M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $242M in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$651M
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+34.0%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 $554M
FY22 $617M
FY23 $576M
FY24 $648M
FY25 $651M
Net income +7.1%/yr
FY21 $184M
FY22 $210M
FY23 $203M
FY24 $222M
FY25 $242M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universal Display Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OLED

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.23× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 51 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 25

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Universal Display Corporation (OLED) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $88.03 versus a price of $91.19, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OLED?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Display Corporation is $88.03 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $91.19.
What is the quality score of OLED?
Universal Display Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Universal Display Corporation (OLED)?
Universal Display Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $627M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OLED?
The net profit margin of Universal Display Corporation is about 34.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Universal Display Corporation pay a dividend?
Universal Display Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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