Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ORCAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 857M TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price −5.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (1.43 TRY to 3.75 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 3.17 TRY – 5.04 TRY · fair‑value band 1.43 TRY – 3.75 TRY · the 3.77 TRY price screens above the 2.66 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.
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Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ORCAY) currently trades at 3.77 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.66 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 446M TRY at a net margin of -33.9%. Revenue declined 67.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.3%. Net debt stands at 486M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.43 TRY (bear case) to 3.75 TRY (bull case); at 3.77 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -29%, ORCAY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi produces, markets, and sells various tea and related products primarily in Turkey. The company offers packaged, bag, fresh, and white-green tea products. It also sells its products online. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Rize, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orçay Ortaköy Çay Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 662M TRY in FY2025 versus 164M TRY in FY2021, a compound +41.8%/yr. Reported net income was −161M TRY in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,438 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 75.10 TWD | 72.54 TWD | -3% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,171 | ₹1,966 | -62% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,104 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,600 IDR | 14,500 IDR | +120% |
| PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF | 6,250 IDR | 22,853 IDR | +266% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | +1% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹419.60 | ₹156.15 | -63% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,900 VND | 70,912 VND | +20% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,650 IDR | 2,175 IDR | +32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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