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Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.8B

OR Old Republic International Corporation logo Old Republic International Corporation ORI · US
Price$43.45
Fair Value$49.97
Upside+15.0%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.86% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $37.47 – $62.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $37.47 (bear) to $62.46 (bull), base $49.97. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.59 $15.72 Fair Value $49.97 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.72 – $44.59 · fair‑value band $37.47 – $62.46 · the $43.45 price screens below the $49.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) currently trades at $43.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.97, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Old Republic International Corporation generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.47 (bear case) to $62.46 (bull case); at $43.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 15%, ORI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $46.43 $69.31 $100.50 80
Residual Income $24.55 $32.18 $86.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF $39.84 $65.06 $93.81 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.62 $71.45 $108.85 38
Owner Earnings $37.00 $58.46 $89.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit $39.84 $64.77 $96.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.59 $66.15 $95.46 41
5Y P/E Exit $45.64 $75.52 $106.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit $40.24 $63.08 $92.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $41.98 $64.01 $92.42 37
10Y P/E Exit $45.12 $70.34 $100.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.14 $78.09 $103.43 54
Lynch FV $16.52 $23.60 $30.68 50
PEG = 1.0 $16.52 $23.60 $30.68 46
EPV $29.69 $35.24 $40.03 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.65 $76.87 $96.09 63
P/S Multiple $49.00 $65.34 $81.67 58
P/B Multiple $49.00 $65.34 $81.67 55
EV/EBIT $60.14 $82.01 $103.87 53
EV/EBITDA $43.24 $59.47 $75.70 54
EV/Revenue $38.76 $57.71 $76.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.14 $16.27 $24.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $46.43 $69.31 $100.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF $39.84 $65.06 $93.81 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.55 $32.18 $86.16 76
ROIC Compounder $30.85 $39.80 $50.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $47.25 $67.50 $87.75 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($67.50) versus Asset-Based ($16.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net margin 10.8%
Return on equity 17.3%
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2
More key figures
Operating margin 18.0%
EPS (TTM) $3.95
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.7%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance.

Full company description

Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance. The Specialty Insurance segment provides lines of coverages, such as accident and health, aviation, commercial auto, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, cyber, environmental, excess and surplus, home and auto warranty, automobile extended warranty, general liability, inland marine, travel accident, and workers' compensation, as well as financial indemnity, including directors and officers, errors and omissions, fidelity, and surety coverages. This segment offers its products to transportation, commercial construction, healthcare, education, retail and wholesale trade, forest products, energy, general manufacturing, and financial services industries. The Title Insurance segment insures against losses arising out of defects, liens and encumbrances affecting the insured title to real estate purchasers and investors. This segment also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services; and real estate information products; national default management services; and various other services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Old Republic International Corporation reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $936M in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.1B
Latest YoY
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+6.0%
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 $9.3B
FY22 $8.1B
FY23 $7.3B
FY24 $8.2B
FY25 $9.1B
Net income −11.6%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $686M
FY23 $599M
FY24 $853M
FY25 $936M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Old Republic International Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.39× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 41
FUTURE 68 · sector 31
PAST 69 · sector 56
HEALTH 87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 48

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $234.48 $252.50 +8%
Chubb Limited CB $337.44 $345.56 +2%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $368.98 $384.42 +4%
The Allstate Corporation ALL $251.61 $503.22 +100%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥7.06 ¥13.71 +94%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$294.02 C$247.44 -16%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,327 C$3,252 +40%
QBE Insurance Group QBE A$25.47 A$19.42 -24%
Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 648,000 KRW 658,771 KRW +2%
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU 69.80 PLN 100.85 PLN +44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.97 versus a price of $43.45, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORI?
Our model-based fair value for Old Republic International Corporation is $49.97 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $43.45.
What is the quality score of ORI?
Old Republic International Corporation has a Quality Score of 70/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Old Republic International Corporation (ORI)?
Old Republic International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ORI?
The net profit margin of Old Republic International Corporation is about 10.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Old Republic International Corporation pay a dividend?
Old Republic International Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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