Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from $37.47 (bear) to $62.46 (bull), base $49.97. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.72 – $44.59 · fair‑value band $37.47 – $62.46 · the $43.45 price screens below the $49.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) currently trades at $43.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.97, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Old Republic International Corporation generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.47 (bear case) to $62.46 (bull case); at $43.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 15%, ORI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($67.50) versus Asset-Based ($16.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance.
Full company description
Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance. The Specialty Insurance segment provides lines of coverages, such as accident and health, aviation, commercial auto, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, cyber, environmental, excess and surplus, home and auto warranty, automobile extended warranty, general liability, inland marine, travel accident, and workers' compensation, as well as financial indemnity, including directors and officers, errors and omissions, fidelity, and surety coverages. This segment offers its products to transportation, commercial construction, healthcare, education, retail and wholesale trade, forest products, energy, general manufacturing, and financial services industries. The Title Insurance segment insures against losses arising out of defects, liens and encumbrances affecting the insured title to real estate purchasers and investors. This segment also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services; and real estate information products; national default management services; and various other services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Old Republic International Corporation reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $936M in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
Watch ORI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Old Republic International’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Old Republic International (ORI) Stock Looks Reasonable On Its 153% Run
- Does Mixed Q2 Results And Buybacks Change The Bull Case For Old Republic International (ORI)?
- ORI Q2 Deep Dive: Specialty and Title Trends Shape Outlook Amid Competitive Pressures
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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