OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 24, 2026: fair value of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. $5.76, price $16.25, upside -64.6%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range $11.68 – $28.96 · fair‑value band $4.03 – $5.83 · the $16.25 price screens above the $5.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells titanium products in Japan, the United States of America, China, and internationally.
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OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells titanium products in Japan, the United States of America, China, and internationally. The company offers titanium sponges, titanium ingots, titanium tetrachloride, titanium tetrachloride aqueous solutions, and ferro-titanium products; and high-performance materials, including titanium powder, high-purity titanium, silicon monoxide, as well as gas-atomized titanium powder. Its products are used in aircraft and automobiles, LNG plants, seawater desalination plants, semiconductors, digital home appliances, and leisure and sporting goods industries. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Titanium Corporation and changed its name to OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.,Ltd. in 2007. OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Amagasaki, Japan.
Stock analysis
OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) currently trades at $16.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.76, 64.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.59 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $16.25 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.72, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.03 (bear) to $5.83 (bull), the price of $16.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. reported revenue of ¥47.2B in FY2026 versus ¥28.5B in FY2022, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.6B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $666M · P/E ratio 36.9 · P/S ratio 2.03 · EPS (TTM) $0.4400 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −65%, OSTTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.03Fair Value $5.76Bull $5.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+37.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.6% vs 4.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−20% → 12%
Compare OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 433 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Below median
Fair Value upside−64.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Return on assets3.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)99.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)36.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.24× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 62
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)70· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.76 versus the last price from Jun 24, 2026 of $16.25, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OSTTF?
Our model-based fair value for OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is $5.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 24, 2026): $16.25.
What is the quality score of OSTTF?
OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.03, optimistic scenario $5.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.76, about −65% upside versus the last price from Jun 24, 2026 of $16.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.03, optimistic scenario $5.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥47.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. it is $5.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.25. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OSTTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.25, fair value $5.76, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSTTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.76). For OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. the two are $10.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. at about $666M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.25; our models calculate a fair value of $5.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSTTF?
Our models span a range for OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario $4.03, base $5.76, optimistic $5.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OSTTF?
OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 14.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.25, calculated fair value $5.76 (−65%), Quality Score 34/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSTTF calculated?
We run OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 24, 2026 and stands at $16.25. Our model-based fair value is $5.76, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) come from?
Earnings per share at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. grew +16.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin +11.0 %, tax rate +4.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The market capitalisation of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is $666M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is 2.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Earnings per share at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. are $0.4400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The net margin of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is 5.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
The operating margin of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Revenue at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is growing −12.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF)?
Earnings per share at OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. are growing −55.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) generate?
The free cash flow of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is −¥5.2B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. (OSTTF) carry?
The net debt of OSAKA Titanium technologies Co.Ltd. is ¥45.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026