Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A (OTM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 143M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 5.13 PLN to 1.52 PLN (−70.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.11 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.16 PLN to 2.11 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.11 PLN – 7.70 PLN · fair‑value band 1.16 PLN – 2.11 PLN · the 4.86 PLN price screens above the 1.52 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A (OTM) currently trades at 4.86 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.52 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 68.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A generated revenue of 272M PLN at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 35.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at 2.0M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.16 PLN (bear case) to 2.11 PLN (bull case); at 4.86 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -69%, OTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (7.85 PLN) versus Asset-Based (2.93 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when OTM reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A. produces and sells sweets and jelly candies in Poland and internationally. The company offers jelly candy, marshmallow, cool beans under the BEBETO brand name; Opolanki and refined truffles under the ODRA brand; and sweets full of surprises under the COSBY brand name.
Full company description
Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A. produces and sells sweets and jelly candies in Poland and internationally. The company offers jelly candy, marshmallow, cool beans under the BEBETO brand name; Opolanki and refined truffles under the ODRA brand; and sweets full of surprises under the COSBY brand name. It also provides bars, milk, haberdashery, jelly, halva, crisps, and multi-grain snacks. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Otmuchów, Poland. Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A. is a subsidiary of Tornellon Investments Spolka Z Ograniczona Odpowiedzialnoscia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A reported revenue of 272M PLN in FY2025 versus 249M PLN in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3M PLN in FY2025.
of which total revenue +0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
OTM screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
Compare Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A (OTM) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of OTM?
What is the quality score of OTM?
What is the revenue of Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A (OTM)?
What is the net profit margin of OTM?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Zaklady Przemyslu Cukierniczego Otmuchów S.A and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.