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Otovo ASA (OTOVO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · NO · Market cap 860M NOK

OA Otovo ASA OTOVO · OL
Pricekr 11.70
Fair Valuekr 2.35
Upside-79.9%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -83.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 1.75 – kr 3.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from kr 11.34 to kr 2.35 (−79.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 1.75 to kr 3.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 298.17 kr 6.38 Fair Value kr 2.35 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 6.38 – kr 298.17 · fair‑value band kr 1.75 – kr 3.50 · the kr 11.70 price screens above the kr 2.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Otovo ASA (OTOVO) currently trades at kr 11.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Otovo ASA generated revenue of 525M NOK at a net margin of -84.0%. Revenue declined 31.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 282M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.75 (bear case) to kr 3.50 (bull case); at kr 11.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -80%, OTOVO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.75 kr 2.35 kr 3.50 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.75 kr 2.35 kr 3.50 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 525M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.5%
Net margin -84.0%
Return on equity -120%
Free cash flow −309M NOK FY2025
Operating margin -139%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -12.13
Net debt 282M NOK FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Otovo ASA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sale and installation of solar panels and related home energy products in Norway, Sweden, Poland, Italy, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Newbuild, Recurring Services, and Field Services.

Full company description

Otovo ASA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sale and installation of solar panels and related home energy products in Norway, Sweden, Poland, Italy, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Newbuild, Recurring Services, and Field Services. The company offers solar, battery, generator, and electricity plans; and various services, including system inspection, pro cleaning, critter guard, generator tune-up, and removal and reinstall, as well as maintenance, grid, electricity, home energy products renting, and subscription services. It also provides Endurance, an AI-built software and online sales platform that automates workflows across intake, diagnostics, dispatch, procurement, billing, and customer support. The company serves residential and commercial customers. Otovo ASA was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Otovo ASA reported revenue of kr 567M in FY2025 versus kr 289M in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 395M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
567M NOK
Latest YoY
−12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.1%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.4%
Revenue +18.3%/yr
FY21 kr 289M
FY22 kr 652M
FY23 kr 1.1B
FY24 kr 649M
FY25 kr 567M
Net income
FY21 −kr 154M
FY22 −kr 309M
FY23 −kr 385M
FY24 −kr 375M
FY25 −kr 395M

OTOVO screens 80% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Otovo ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTOVO

Peer Group

Solar · 118 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -45% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -83% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -99% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -32% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 14

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $221.03 $284.45 +29%
Nextpower Inc NXT $111.50 $69.61 -38%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,923 ₹3,613 +24%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥13.08 ¥12.13 -7%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.39 ¥4.75 +8%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.64 ¥22.76 +5%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.11 ¥7.01 -31%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $44.83 $22.20 -50%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,086 ₹912.32 -16%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.98 ¥7.97 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Otovo ASA (OTOVO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2.35 versus a price of kr 11.70, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OTOVO?
Our model-based fair value for Otovo ASA is kr 2.35 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 11.70.
What is the quality score of OTOVO?
Otovo ASA has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Otovo ASA (OTOVO)?
Otovo ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 525M NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OTOVO?
The net profit margin of Otovo ASA is about -84.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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