Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.8B
Blue Owl Capital Inc
OWL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +22.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.14 – $24.44 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $2.11 · the $11.46 price screens above the $1.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) currently trades at $11.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.68, implying the stock looks roughly 85.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Blue Owl Capital Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $3.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.27 (bear case) to $2.11 (bull case); at $11.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -85%, OWL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($20.34) versus Asset-Based ($2.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager in the United States. It offers permanent capital base solutions that enables it to offer holistic framework of capital solutions to middle market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants.
Full company description
Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager in the United States. It offers permanent capital base solutions that enables it to offer holistic framework of capital solutions to middle market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants. The company also provides private financing solutions, such as direct lending products comprising diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending to middle-market companies; alternative credit; investment grade credit; liquid credit; and other credit solutions. In addition, the company offers GP strategic capital products, which offers capital solutions, including GP minority stakes, GP debt financing, and professional sports minority stakes; and real estate products that focuses on acquiring triple net lease real estate by investment grade or creditworthy tenants, as well as real estate debt finance through net lease and real estate credit. It offers its solutions through permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds. Blue Owl Capital Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blue Owl Capital Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $824M in FY2021, a compound +36.6%/yr. Reported net income was $78.8M in FY2025.
OWL screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- KKR unit mulls at least $250M investment in partly Blue Owl-managed insurer - report
- Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: 9% DE Growth and Robust ...
- Will Slower Fundraising And AI Data Center Bets Change Blue Owl Capital's (OWL) Narrative?
- Compared to Estimates, Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
Peer Group
Asset Management · 963 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,036 | $504.81 | -51% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 394.40 | kr 788.80 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,729 | ₹301.41 | -89% |
Compare Blue Owl Capital Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of OWL?
What is the quality score of OWL?
What is the revenue of Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL)?
What is the net profit margin of OWL?
Does Blue Owl Capital Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Blue Owl Capital Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.